Selasa, 15 Maret 2011

Analisa Forex Market 15 Maret 2011

EUR/USD
Di perdagangan, Senin kemarin (14/3/2011), dibuka level 1.3932. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami kenaikan, diawali pelemahan ke level dasar 1.3901 kemudian rebound hingga level puncak 1.4001 setelah berhasil melewati resistance 1.3989 (high, 8 Maret). Harga penutupan di 1.3985, ditandai dengan pola bullish.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan bergerak turun terbatas ke area 1.3890/901  - 1.3874 dan terjauh 1.3838/44 - 1.3794/72,1.3748 setelah tembus support 1.3901 (low, 14 Maret) hingga intraday low 1.3890. Jika terjadi kenaikan terbatas berpotensi ke area 1.3941 - 1.3961 dan terjauh 1.3981/1.4001 - 1.4023/33,1.4046. Perluasan resistance berada di 1.4046,1.4069/76,1.4124,1.4149/55,1.4186,1.4226,1.4278 dan perluasan support di 1.3730/39/48,1.3717,1.3701,1.3656,1.3632/42,1.3589,1.3566,1.3522,1.3504,1.3472, 1.3458,1.3425.

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi Eropa (gabungan 16 negara dalam satu mata uang euro) 'German ZEW Economic Sentiment' (18.00 WIB) dan AS 'TIC Long-Term Purchases' (21.00 WIB), 'Federal Funds Rate' (02.15 WIB) yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 1.3941 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 1.3961 dan terjauh berkisar 1.3981 - 1.4023/33. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 1.3890 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 1.3874 dan terjauh kisaran 1.3838/44 - 1.3772.



USD/JPY
Di perdagangan, Senin kemarin (14/3/2011), dibuka level 82.97. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami pembalikan arah turun cukup tajam, di awali penguatan ke level puncak 83.29 setelah berhasil melewati resistance 83.17 (high, 10 Maret) kemudian pulled back hingga level dasar 81.64 setelah mampu tembus support 81.71 (low, 3 Maret). Harga penutupan di 81.88, ditandai dengan candle bearish.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan bergerak turun terbatas ke area 81.38 - 81.01/10/21 dan terjauh 80.88/57 - 80.31/42 setelah tembus support 81.28 (low, 14 Maret) hingga intraday low 81.21. Jika terjadi kenaikan sangat terbatas berpotensi ke area 82.01 - 82.22 dan terjauh 82.43/69 -  82.90/83.03. Perluasan resistance berada di 83.17,83.29/40,83.55/66,83.83,83.97,84.12,84.29/39/49, 84.62/71,85.07/11,85.38/44, 85.70, 85.92/4, 86.12, 86.36, 86.59,87.64,88.08 dan perluasan support di 79.39,79.17,78.48.  

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi AS 'TIC Long-Term Purchases' (21.00 WIB), 'Federal Funds Rate' (02.15 WIB) yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 82.01 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 82.22 dan terjauh berkisar 82.43 - 82.90/83.03. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 81.38 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 81.01/10/21 dan terjauh kisaran 80.88 - 80.31/42.



GBP/USD
Di perdagangan, Senin kemarin (14/3//2011), harga pembukaan GBP/USD di 1.6071. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami kenaikan cukup tajam, diawali pelemahan ke level dasar 1.6027 kemudian rebound hingga level puncak 1.6199 setelah berhasil melewati support 1.6088 (high, 11 Maret). Harga penutupan di 1.6174, ditandai dengan candle bullish.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan naik sangat terbatas ke area 1.6199/207 - 1.6243/56 dan terjauh 1.6273/1.6329 - 1.6344/53. Jika terjadi penurunan terbatas berpotensi ke area 1.6118/26 - 1.6101 dan terjauh 1.6088/63 - 1.6048/27,1.5977/64. Perluasan resistance berada di 1.6329, 1.6344/53,1.6379,1.6409,1.6431, 1.6456,1.6534 dan perluasan support berada di 1.6048,1.6027/31,1.5977/88, 1.5964, 1.5942, 1.5914, 1.5892,1.5844, 1.5819/23,1.5770, 1.5751, 1.5719/30,1.5695,1.5582.  

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi Inggris dan AS 'TIC Long-Term Purchases' (21.00 WIB), 'Federal Funds Rate' (02.15 WIB) yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 1.6199/207 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 1.6224 dan terjauh berkisar 1.6243/56 - 1.6299. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 1.6145 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 1.6118/26 dan terjauh kisaran 1.6101 - 1.6063.





EUR / USD In trading on Monday (3/14/2011), opened the level of 1.3932. The movement of this currency pair of natural increase, beginning weakening to a basic level of 1.3901 and then rebounded to peak levels after successfully passing resistance 1.4001 1.3989 (high, 8 March). The closing price at 1.3985, marked by a bullish pattern.
In Asian trading today, the currency pair is likely to move down is limited to the area 1.3890/901 - 1.3874 and farthest 1.3838/44 - 1.3794/72, 1.3748 after 1.3901 translucent support (low, 14 March) up to an intraday low 1.3890. If there is limited potential to increase the area 1.3941 - 1.3961 and 1.3981/1.4001 farthest - 1.4023/33, 1.4046. Expansion of resistance are in 1.4046,1.4069 / 76,1.4124,1.4149 / 55,1.4186,1.4226,1.4278 and expansion of support in 1.3730/39/48, 1.3717,1.3701,1.3656,1.3632 / 42,1.3589,1.3566,1.3522,1.3504,1.3472 , 1.3458,1.3425.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on European economic data (combined 16 countries in the euro single currency) 'Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment' (1800 GMT) and the U.S. 'Long-Term TIC Purchases' (21:00 pm), 'The Federal Funds Rate' (2:15 pm) will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 1.3941 level will likely potential target towards the next resistance level at 1.3961 and 1.3981 furthest ranges - 1.4023/33. And when it is otherwise made it through support at 1.3890 level targets will likely have the potential towards the next support level at 1.3874 and the furthest range 1.3838/44 - 1.3772.
USD / JPY In trading on Monday (3/14/2011), opened the level of 82.97. The movement of this currency pair fell quite naturally sharp reversal, at begin strengthening the top level after successfully passing resistance 83.29 83.17 (high, 10 March) and then pulled back up to levels capable of penetrating the basis of 81.64 after the 81.71 support (low, 3 March). The closing price at 81.88, was marked with a bearish candle.
In Asian trading today, the currency pair is likely to move down is limited to an area of ​​81.38 - and the furthest 81.01/10/21 80.88/57 - 80.31/42 after penetrating support 81.28 (low, 14 March) to 81.21 intraday low. If the increase is very limited potential to an area of ​​82.01 - 82.22 and farthest 82.43/69 - 82.90/83.03. The expansion of resistance located at 83.17,83.29 / 40,83.55 / 66,83.83,83.97,84.12,84.29 / 39/49, 84.62/71, 85.07/11, 85.38/44, 85.70, 85.92 / 4, 86.12, 86.36, 86.59, 87.64,88.08 and expansion of support in 79.39,79.17,78.48.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on U.S. economic data 'Long-Term TIC Purchases' (21:00 pm), 'The Federal Funds Rate' (2:15 pm) will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 82.01 level will probably have the potential towards the target next resistance level of 82.22 and 82.43 furthest ranges - 82.90/83.03. And when it is otherwise made it through the support level of 81.38 in the target is likely to have the potential towards the next support level 81.01/10/21 and the furthest range of 80.88 - 80.31/42.
GBP / USD In trading on Monday (14 / 3 / / 2011), the opening price of GBP / USD at 1.6071. The movement of this currency pair of natural increase is sharp, starts weakening to a basic level of 1.6027 and then rebounded to peak levels after successfully passing 1.6199 1.6088 support (high, 11 March). The closing price at 1.6174, marked by a bullish candle.
In Asian trading today, the movement of the currency pair is likely to rise very limited to the area 1.6199/207 - and the furthest 1.6273/1.6329 1.6243/56 - 1.6344/53. If there is a decrease limited to an area potentially 1.6118/26 - 1.6101 and furthest 1.6088/63 - 1.6048/27, 1.5977/64. The expansion of resistance located at 1.6329, 1.6344/53, 1.6379,1.6409,1.6431, 1.6456,1.6534 and expansion of support are in 1.6048,1.6027 / 31,1.5977 / 88, 1.5964, 1.5942, 1.5914, 1.5892,1.5844, 1.5819/23, 1.5770, 1.5751, 1.5719/30, 1.5695,1.5582.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on UK and U.S. economic data 'Long-Term TIC Purchases' (21:00 pm), 'The Federal Funds Rate' (2:15 pm) will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance level will likely potential target 1.6199/207 towards the next resistance level at 1.6224 and the furthest range 1.6243/56 - 1.6299. And when it is otherwise made it through support at 1.6145 level targets will likely have the potential towards the next support at the 1.6118/26 level and the furthest range of 1.6101 - 1.6063.

  Market Data Calendar :

Date GMT+7 Currency
 Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Chart

Tue
Mar 15
5:05 AUD
RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks
7:30 AUD
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
7:30 AUD
New Motor Vehicle Sales m/m

-1.9%
15th-18th CNY
New Loans
604B
1040B
15th-18th CNY
M2 Money Supply y/y
17.0%
17.2%
15th-18th CNY
Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y

23.4%
13:30 EUR
French CPI m/m
0.6%
-0.2%
All Day EUR
ECOFIN Meetings
16:30 GBP
DCLG HPI y/y
3.5%
3.8%
17:00 EUR
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
16.2
15.7
17:00 EUR
ZEW Economic Sentiment
34.5
29.5
17:00 EUR
Employment Change q/q
0.2%
0.0%
17:00 GBP
CB Leading Index m/m

0.7%
19:30 CAD
Labor Productivity q/q
0.3%
0.1%
19:30 CAD
New Motor Vehicle Sales m/m
2.3%
-4.8%
19:30 USD
Empire State Manufacturing Index
16.2
15.4
19:30 USD
Import Prices m/m
0.9%
1.5%
20:00 USD
TIC Long-Term Purchases
72.3B
65.9B
21:00 USD
NAHB Housing Market Index
17
16


Trading Plan




USD-JPY
BUY
81.80
SELL
81.35
BUY BREAK
83.34
SELL BREAK
80.59
TAKE PROFIT
0.50
STOP LOSS
0.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

82.51
81.56
80.67
             Trend : Up
83.40

79.72

84.34

78.83





AUD-USD
BUY
1.0118
SELL
1.0073
BUY BREAK
1.0166
SELL BREAK
0.9924
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.0138
1.0094
1.0057
Trend : Up
1.0175

1.0013

1.0219

0.9976





EUR-USD
BUY
1.3993
SELL
1.3948
BUY BREAK
1.4040
SELL BREAK
1.3889
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.4030
1.3969
1.3932
Trend : Up
1.4067

1.3871

1.4128

1.3834





GBP-USD
BUY
1.6155
SELL
1.6110
BUY BREAK
1.6209
SELL BREAK
1.5978
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.6238
1.6131
1.6064
Trend : Up
1.6305

1.5957

1.6412

1.5890





USD-CHF
BUY
0.9283
SELL
0.9238
BUY BREAK
0.9371
SELL BREAK
0.9184
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

0.9293
0.9259
0.9207
Trend : Down
0.9345

0.9173

0.9379

0.9121






EUR-JPY
BUY
114.14
SELL
113.69
BUY BREAK
114.89
SELL BREAK
112.89
TAKE PROFIT
000.50
STOP LOSS
000.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

115.17
113.84
112.87
Trend : Up
116.14

111.54

117.47

110.57

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