Selasa, 22 Maret 2011

Analisa Forex Market 22 Maret 2011

USD/JPY dibebani oleh aksi jual eksportir Jepang, turun ke intraday terendah sejauh ini di level 80.96, ujar dealer dari salah satu bank di Jepang.

Tapi penurunan tajam sepertinya tidak akan terjadi ditengah berlanjutnya kekhawatiran terhadap potensi intervensi, setelah Noda sebagai menteri keuangan mengatakan G-7 akan terus bekerja sama setelah berjanji akan intervensi bersama pada hari Jum'at.

Mengingat kekhawatiran tersebut, USD/JPY mungkin akan terus bertahan diatas 80.00 hingga akhir perdagangan waktu Asia, tambahnya.

USD/JPY terakhir berada di posisi 81.05.
USD/JPY mungkin akan menguji level 82.00 ditengah kekhawatiran terhadap potensi bahwa MOF Jepang dapat melakukan lebih banyak intervensi, kata Hideaki Inoue, dealer senior FX dari Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking.

"Saya perkirakan tren harusnya akan membuat yen menjadi lemah untuk saat ini setelah diberi ancaman intervensi dan pergerakan oleh BOJ untuk mempermudah lebih lanjut, yang membuat kesulitan bagi spekulan untuk membeli yen", katanya.

Dengan spekulan beristirahat, Inoue mengatakan pergerakan akan didorong oleh eksportir Jepang, importir dan lainnya adalah "dana tunai" dari pemain.

Support kuat untuk USD/JPY akan berada di level 80.00 dan terakhir berada di posisi 81.27. EUR/JPY berada di posisi 115.50 dan mungkin akan naik ke 116.00. EUR/USD berada di posisi 1.4206 dan mungkin akan ke area 1.4283.

USD / JPY encumbered by Japanese exporters selling action, fell to the lowest intraday level so far at 80.96, dealers said of one of the banks in Japan.

But the sharp decline is unlikely to occur amid continuing concern about the potential for intervention, after the stain as finance minister said the G-7 will continue to work together after promising to intervene together on Friday.

Given these concerns, the USD / JPY may continue to hold above 80.00 until the end of Asian trading time, he added.

USD / JPY was last in 81.05 position.


USD / JPY may test the 82.00 level amid concerns about the potential that the MOF of Japan to do more intervention, said Hideaki Inoue, senior FX dealer of Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking.

"I expect the trend should be a weaker yen would make at this time after being given the threat of intervention and movement by the BOJ to ease further, which makes it difficult for speculators to buy yen, " he said.

With the speculators to rest, Inoue said the movement will be driven by Japanese exporters, importers and others are "cash" from the player.

Strong support for the USD / JPY will be the last level of 80.00 and 81.27 are in position. EUR / JPY at 115.50 and the position will probably go up to 116.00. EUR / USD was in the position of 1.4206 and 1.4283 may be to the area.
 
 Market Data Calendar :


Mar 22 Filter
Date Time & Date OptionsGMT+7 Currency
 Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Chart
Tue
Mar 22
11:30 JPY
All Industries Activity m/m
2.7%
-0.2%
14:00 CHF
Trade Balance
2.13B
2.04B
16:30 GBP
CPI y/y
4.2%
4.0%
16:30 GBP
Public Sector Net Borrowing
5.7B
-5.3B
16:30 GBP
RPI y/y
5.2%
5.1%
16:30 GBP
Core CPI y/y
3.2%
3.0%
18:00 GBP
CBI Industrial Order Expectations
-5
-8
18:30 USD
FOMC Member Fisher Speaks
19:30 CAD
Core Retail Sales m/m
0.8%
0.6%
19:30 CAD
Leading Index m/m
0.7%
0.3%
19:30 CAD
Retail Sales m/m
1.1%
-0.2%
21:00 USD
OFHEO HPI m/m
-0.2%
-0.3%
21:00 USD
Richmond Manufacturing Index
23
25






Trading Plan



USD-JPY
BUY
80.25
SELL
80.80
BUY BREAK
82.01
SELL BREAK
79.64
TAKE PROFIT
0.50
STOP LOSS
0.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

81.31
81.01
80.72
             Trend : Up
81.60

80.42

81.90

80.13





AUD-USD
BUY
1.0057
SELL
1.0011
BUY BREAK
1.0164
SELL BREAK
0.9929
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.0108
1.0032
0.9989
Trend : Up
1.0151

0.9913

1.0227

0.9870





EUR-USD
BUY
1.4224
SELL
1.4179
BUY BREAK
1.4304
SELL BREAK
1.4100
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.4262
1.4200
1.4163
Trend : Up
1.4299

1.4101

1.4361

1.4064





GBP-USD
BUY
1.6304
SELL
1.6258
BUY BREAK
1.6406
SELL BREAK
1.6155
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.6356
1.6279
1.6233
Trend : Up
1.6402

1.6156

1.6479

1.6110





USD-CHF
BUY
0.9060
SELL
0.9015
BUY BREAK
0.9101
SELL BREAK
0.8974
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

0.9068
0.9036
0.9007
Trend : Up
0.9097

0.8975

0.9129

0.8946






EUR-JPY
BUY
114.14
SELL
113.69
BUY BREAK
114.89
SELL BREAK
112.89
TAKE PROFIT
000.50
STOP LOSS
000.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

115.65
115.08
114.71
Trend : Up
116.02

114.14

116.59

113.77



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