Untuk indikator ekonomi global, pada pekan ini akan diisi ramai rilis berita ekonomi penting, sebagaimana biasanya di awal bulan, di antaranya pengumuman suku bunga di Eropa, Australia dan Indoesia serta data pengangguran di Amerika. Secara umum, rilis data ekonomi yang kiranya perlu diperhatikan investor minggu ini, adalah:
• Dari kawasan Amerika: berupa rilis data perumahan Pending Home Sales pada Senin malam; lalu data industry ISM Manufacturing PMI pada Selasa malam; data ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI serta data tenaga kerja Unemployment Claims mingguan yang biasa menjadi perhatian pasar dirilis pada Kamis malam; serta data tenaga kerja Non-Farm Employment Change dan Unemployment Rate di Jumat malam yang akan menjadi pusat perhatian investor.
o Dari kawasan Inggris dan Eropa: berupa data Manufacturing PMI di Inggris pada Selasa sore; data Minimum Bid Rate dari European Central Bank (ECB) akan jadi perhatian investor pada Kamis sore.
o Dari Australia dan China: berupa pengumuman suku bunga Australia (RBA) pada Selasa pagi, berdekatan dengan itu adalah rilis Manufacturing PMI di China.
o Dari Indonesia: berupa pengumuman suku bunga BI rate pada Jumat siang bersama data inflasi.
Minggu lalu di pasar forex, nilai tukar mata uang dollar bergerak melemah kembali terhadap kelompok major currencies lainnya di antara isyu bahwa ECB mungkin akan menaikkan suku bunganya sementara the Fed masih belum akan menaikkan suku bunganya dalam waktu dekat ini, dengan index dollar AS berakhir di level 77.230. Sementara itu, pekan yang lalu euro masih cenderung menguat walau hampir rangebound setelah pimpinan Bundesbank menyebutkan bahwa satunya pilihan bagi ECB adalah menaikkan suku bunga, berakhir di level 1.3750. Untuk minggu berjalan ini market range akan berada antara level resistance pada 1.4080 dan berikutnya di 1.4278, sedangkan level support di 1.3423 dan kemudian pada 1.3240.
Poundsterling minggu lalu umumnya melemah vs dollar agak terbatas ke level 1.6114, terkoreksi dari trend-up rally-nya selama ini. Untuk minggu ini, level resistance terdekat masih pada 1.6300 dan kemudian 1.6460, sedang support berada pada 1.5960 dan kemudian 1. 5745. Untuk USDJPY minggu lalu cenderung terkoreksi. Pasar di minggu ini berada di antara resistance pada 83.90 dan 84.50, serta support level pada 80.90 dan 80.22. Sementara itu, Aussie dollar terpantau seminggu lewat masih menguat terbatas oleh kenaikan komoditas minyak ditutup pada level 1.0174. Range minggu ini tetap antara resistance 1.0230 dan 1.03 sementara support level di 0.9945 dan 0.9794.
Untuk pasar di stock index futures, pada minggu lalu indeks Nikkei tergerus akibat sentiment negative geopolitik di Libya, berakhir di 10540. Minggu ini Nikkei berjangka akan dalam rentangan resistance terdekat pada 10900 dan level berikutnya di 11210. Adapun support pada level 10178 dan lalu 9906. Sementara itu, Indeks Hang Seng berjangka di Hong Kong minggu lalu juga melorot, ditutup di level 22922. Minggu ini akan berada dalam range level resistance di 23605 dan berikutnya 24000, sementara support-nya di 22415 selanjutnya 21520.
Bursa saham Wall Street minggu lalu mengalami koreksi, yang terbesar dalam tiga bulan terakhir, setelah mencapai level 32 bulan tertingginya sejak Juni 2008 untuk S&P 500. Situasi Libya telah menjadi penyebab utamanya. Demikianpun, Dow Jones Industrial minggu ini masih dalam area bullish-trend kepada level resistance berikutnya di 12400 dan 12600, sementara support di level 11800 dan kemudian pada 11450. Index S&P 500 minggu lalu juga alami korekwsi; resistance sekarang di level 1345 dan 1440, sementara level support berada di 1295 dan 1252.
• Dari kawasan Amerika: berupa rilis data perumahan Pending Home Sales pada Senin malam; lalu data industry ISM Manufacturing PMI pada Selasa malam; data ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI serta data tenaga kerja Unemployment Claims mingguan yang biasa menjadi perhatian pasar dirilis pada Kamis malam; serta data tenaga kerja Non-Farm Employment Change dan Unemployment Rate di Jumat malam yang akan menjadi pusat perhatian investor.
o Dari kawasan Inggris dan Eropa: berupa data Manufacturing PMI di Inggris pada Selasa sore; data Minimum Bid Rate dari European Central Bank (ECB) akan jadi perhatian investor pada Kamis sore.
o Dari Australia dan China: berupa pengumuman suku bunga Australia (RBA) pada Selasa pagi, berdekatan dengan itu adalah rilis Manufacturing PMI di China.
o Dari Indonesia: berupa pengumuman suku bunga BI rate pada Jumat siang bersama data inflasi.
Minggu lalu di pasar forex, nilai tukar mata uang dollar bergerak melemah kembali terhadap kelompok major currencies lainnya di antara isyu bahwa ECB mungkin akan menaikkan suku bunganya sementara the Fed masih belum akan menaikkan suku bunganya dalam waktu dekat ini, dengan index dollar AS berakhir di level 77.230. Sementara itu, pekan yang lalu euro masih cenderung menguat walau hampir rangebound setelah pimpinan Bundesbank menyebutkan bahwa satunya pilihan bagi ECB adalah menaikkan suku bunga, berakhir di level 1.3750. Untuk minggu berjalan ini market range akan berada antara level resistance pada 1.4080 dan berikutnya di 1.4278, sedangkan level support di 1.3423 dan kemudian pada 1.3240.
Poundsterling minggu lalu umumnya melemah vs dollar agak terbatas ke level 1.6114, terkoreksi dari trend-up rally-nya selama ini. Untuk minggu ini, level resistance terdekat masih pada 1.6300 dan kemudian 1.6460, sedang support berada pada 1.5960 dan kemudian 1. 5745. Untuk USDJPY minggu lalu cenderung terkoreksi. Pasar di minggu ini berada di antara resistance pada 83.90 dan 84.50, serta support level pada 80.90 dan 80.22. Sementara itu, Aussie dollar terpantau seminggu lewat masih menguat terbatas oleh kenaikan komoditas minyak ditutup pada level 1.0174. Range minggu ini tetap antara resistance 1.0230 dan 1.03 sementara support level di 0.9945 dan 0.9794.
Untuk pasar di stock index futures, pada minggu lalu indeks Nikkei tergerus akibat sentiment negative geopolitik di Libya, berakhir di 10540. Minggu ini Nikkei berjangka akan dalam rentangan resistance terdekat pada 10900 dan level berikutnya di 11210. Adapun support pada level 10178 dan lalu 9906. Sementara itu, Indeks Hang Seng berjangka di Hong Kong minggu lalu juga melorot, ditutup di level 22922. Minggu ini akan berada dalam range level resistance di 23605 dan berikutnya 24000, sementara support-nya di 22415 selanjutnya 21520.
Bursa saham Wall Street minggu lalu mengalami koreksi, yang terbesar dalam tiga bulan terakhir, setelah mencapai level 32 bulan tertingginya sejak Juni 2008 untuk S&P 500. Situasi Libya telah menjadi penyebab utamanya. Demikianpun, Dow Jones Industrial minggu ini masih dalam area bullish-trend kepada level resistance berikutnya di 12400 dan 12600, sementara support di level 11800 dan kemudian pada 11450. Index S&P 500 minggu lalu juga alami korekwsi; resistance sekarang di level 1345 dan 1440, sementara level support berada di 1295 dan 1252.
For the global economic indicators, this week will be filled crowded release of important economic news, as usual at the beginning of the month, including the announcement of interest rates in Europe, Australia and Indonesia it appears logical and unemployment data in the U.S.. In general, economic data releases that investors would need to be considered this week are: • From the Americas: the form of housing data releases Pending Home Sales on Monday night; and industry data on the ISM Manufacturing PMI Tuesday night; data ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and employment data Unemployment Claims Typical weekly market attention was released on Thursday night, as well as employment data Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate on Friday night will be the center of attention of investors. o From the UK and European regions: the form of data in the UK Manufacturing PMI on Tuesday afternoon; Minimum Bid Rate data from the European Central Bank (ECB) will be the attention of investors on Thursday afternoon. o From Australia and China: in the form of interest rate announcement of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday morning, it is close to release in China Manufacturing PMI. o From Indonesia: a BI Rate announcement on Friday afternoon with inflation data.
Last week in the forex market, currency exchange rates weaken the dollar moves back against other currencies in the major group among the issues that the ECB will probably raise interest rates while the Fed will still raise interest rates in the near future, with the U.S. dollar index ended at level 77 230. Meanwhile, last week the euro was likely to strengthen even though almost rangebound after the leadership of the Bundesbank said that the only option for the ECB is raising interest rates, ending at 1.3750 level. To run this week market will be range between resistance level at 1.4080 and the next at 1.4278, while the support level at 1.3423 and then at 1.3240.
Pounds Sterling last week versus the dollar generally weakened somewhat limited to the level of 1.6114, corrected from the trend of his rally-ups over the years. For this week, the nearest resistance level is at 1.6300 and then 1.6460, while support is at 1.5960 and then 1. 5745. For USDJPY last week tended corrected. Markets this week were among the resistance at 83.90 and 84.50, and the support level at 80.90 and 80.22. Meanwhile, the Aussie dollar is still strong through the week observed limited by rising oil commodity closed at 1.0174. This week range between resistance remains 1.0230 and 1:03 while the support level at 0.9945 and 0.9794.
For the market in stock index futures, at last week's Nikkei index eroded due to negative sentiment geopolitics in Libya, ending at 10,540. This week the Nikkei futures will be in the range of the nearest resistance level at 10,900 and the next at 11,210. The support at 10,178 level and then 9906. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng index futures in Hong Kong last week also fell, closing at 22,922 levels. This week will be in the range of resistance level at 23,605 and 24,000 the next, while his support in the next 22 415 21 520.
Wall Street stock market last week suffered a correction, the largest in the last three months, after reaching its highest level 32 months from June 2008 to S & P 500. The situation Libya has become the main cause. Expects ", Dow Jones Industrial this week still in the area of the bullish-trend to the next resistance level at 12,400 and 12,600, while the support at 11,800 level and then at 11,450. S & P 500 Index last week also naturally korekwsi; resistance is now at the level of 1345 and 1440, while the level of support was in 1295 and 1252.
Last week in the forex market, currency exchange rates weaken the dollar moves back against other currencies in the major group among the issues that the ECB will probably raise interest rates while the Fed will still raise interest rates in the near future, with the U.S. dollar index ended at level 77 230. Meanwhile, last week the euro was likely to strengthen even though almost rangebound after the leadership of the Bundesbank said that the only option for the ECB is raising interest rates, ending at 1.3750 level. To run this week market will be range between resistance level at 1.4080 and the next at 1.4278, while the support level at 1.3423 and then at 1.3240.
Pounds Sterling last week versus the dollar generally weakened somewhat limited to the level of 1.6114, corrected from the trend of his rally-ups over the years. For this week, the nearest resistance level is at 1.6300 and then 1.6460, while support is at 1.5960 and then 1. 5745. For USDJPY last week tended corrected. Markets this week were among the resistance at 83.90 and 84.50, and the support level at 80.90 and 80.22. Meanwhile, the Aussie dollar is still strong through the week observed limited by rising oil commodity closed at 1.0174. This week range between resistance remains 1.0230 and 1:03 while the support level at 0.9945 and 0.9794.
For the market in stock index futures, at last week's Nikkei index eroded due to negative sentiment geopolitics in Libya, ending at 10,540. This week the Nikkei futures will be in the range of the nearest resistance level at 10,900 and the next at 11,210. The support at 10,178 level and then 9906. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng index futures in Hong Kong last week also fell, closing at 22,922 levels. This week will be in the range of resistance level at 23,605 and 24,000 the next, while his support in the next 22 415 21 520.
Wall Street stock market last week suffered a correction, the largest in the last three months, after reaching its highest level 32 months from June 2008 to S & P 500. The situation Libya has become the main cause. Expects ", Dow Jones Industrial this week still in the area of the bullish-trend to the next resistance level at 12,400 and 12,600, while the support at 11,800 level and then at 11,450. S & P 500 Index last week also naturally korekwsi; resistance is now at the level of 1345 and 1440, while the level of support was in 1295 and 1252.
Market Calendar :
| Date |  13:53 | Currency | Impact | Detail | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Chart | |
| Tue Mar 1 | 4:45 | NZD | Overseas Trade Index q/q |  | 3.2% | 3.0% |  | ||
| 5:30 | AUD | AIG Manufacturing Index |  | 46.7 | | ||||
| 6:30 | JPY | Household Spending y/y | | -1.3% | -3.3% | | |||
| 6:30 | JPY | Unemployment Rate | | 4.9% | 4.9% | | |||
| 7:30 | AUD | Retail Sales m/m | | 0.3% | 0.2% | | |||
| 7:30 | AUD | Current Account | | -6.9B | -7.8B | | |||
| 8:00 | CNY | Manufacturing PMI | | 52.2 | 52.9 | | |||
| 8:30 | JPY | Average Cash Earnings y/y | | 0.3% | 0.1%  | | |||
| 9:00 | NZD | ANZ Commodity Prices m/m | | 3.8% | | ||||
| 9:30 | CNY | HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI | | 51.5 | | ||||
| 10:30 | AUD | Cash Rate | | 4.75% | 4.75% | | |||
| 10:30 | AUD | RBA Rate Statement | | ||||||
| 12:30 | AUD | Commodity Prices y/y | | 48.7% | | ||||
| 13:45 | CHF | GDP q/q | | 0.5% | 0.7% | | |||
| 1st-4th | GBP | Halifax HPI m/m | | -0.6% | 0.8% | | |||
| 14:00 | GBP | Nationwide HPI m/m | | -0.2% | -0.1% | | |||
| 15:30 | CHF | SVME PMI | | 60.7 | 60.5 | | |||
| 15:55 | EUR | German Unemployment Change | | -13K | -13K | | |||
| 16:00 | EUR | Final Manufacturing PMI | | 59.0 | 59.0 | | |||
| 16:00 | EUR | Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate | | 8.6% | 8.6% | | |||
| 16:30 | GBP | Manufacturing PMI | | 61.5 | 62.0 | | |||
| 16:30 | GBP | Net Lending to Individuals m/m | | 0.3B | -0.1B | | |||
| 16:30 | GBP | Final Mortgage Approvals | | 43K | 41K | | |||
| 16:30 | GBP | M4 Money Supply m/m | | 0.4% | -1.3% | | |||
| 17:00 | EUR | CPI Flash Estimate y/y | | 2.4% | 2.4% | | |||
| 17:00 | EUR | Unemployment Rate | | 10.0% | 10.0% | | |||
| 17:00 | EUR | Italian Prelim CPI m/m | | 0.2% | 0.4% | | |||
| 17:00 | GBP | Inflation Report Hearings | | ||||||
| 21:00 | CAD | BOC Rate Statement | | ||||||
| 21:00 | CAD | Overnight Rate | | 1.00% | 1.00% | | |||
| 22:00 | USD | Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies | | ||||||
| 22:00 | USD | ISM Manufacturing PMI | | 60.8 | 60.8 | | |||
| 22:00 | USD | Construction Spending m/m | | -0.4% | -2.5% | | |||
| 22:00 | USD | ISM Manufacturing Prices | | 82.4 | 81.5 | | |||
| All Day | USD | Total Vehicle Sales | | 12.7M |
Trading Plan
USD-JPY | |||
BUY | 82.06 | SELL | 81.61 |
BUY BREAK | 82.49 | SELL BREAK | 81.11 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.50 | STOP LOSS | 0.30 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
82.00 | 81.82 | 81.64 | Trend : no trend |
82.18 | 81.46 | ||
82.36 | 81.28 | ||
AUD-USD | |||
BUY | 1.0185 | SELL | 1.0140 |
BUY BREAK | 1.0209 | SELL BREAK | 1.0088 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.0207 | 1.0161 | 1.0136 | Trend : Down |
1.0232 | 1.0090 | ||
1.0278 | 1.0065 | ||
EUR-USD | |||
BUY | 1.3817 | SELL | 1.3772 |
BUY BREAK | 1.3869 | SELL BREAK | 1.3713 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.3872 | 1.3793 | 1.3730 | Trend : Down |
1.3935 | 1.3651 | ||
1.4014 | 1.3588 | ||
GBP-USD | |||
BUY | 1.6221 | SELL | 1.6176 |
BUY BREAK | 1.6319 | SELL BREAK | 1.6115 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.6326 | 1.6197 | 1.6122 | Trend : Up |
1.6401 | 1.5993 | ||
1.6530 | 1.5918 | ||
USD-CHF | |||
BUY | 0.9309 | SELL | 0.9264 |
BUY BREAK | 0.9389 | SELL BREAK | 0.9214 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
0.9310 | 0.9285 | 0.9263 | Trend : Down |
0.9332 | 0.9238 | ||
0.9357 | 0.9216 | ||
EUR-JPY | |||
BUY | 113.00 | SELL | 112.55 |
BUY BREAK | 113.55 | SELL BREAK | 111.93 |
TAKE PROFIT | 000.50 | STOP LOSS | 000.30 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
113.54 | 112.76 | 112.15 | Trend : Down |
114.15 | 111.37 | ||
114.93 | 110.76 | ||
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