Beberapa rilis berita ekonomi penting, dimana Amerika pada hari Senin akan libur public karena President’s Day. Secara umum, rilis data ekonomi yang kiranya perlu diperhatikan minggu ini, adalah:
Kawasan Australia: -Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) pada hari ini (03-02) melaporkan adanya peningkatan kinerja pada ekonomi Australia. Rilis aktual dari ABS menunjukkan bahwa indikator GDP q/q naik menjadi 0.7% dimana sebelumnya diperkirakan akan naik menjadi 0.6% dari nilai pada periode lalu yaitu 0.1%. Hal tersebut menunjukkan bahwa PDB Australia pada kuartal IV 2010 tumbuh sekitar 0.7% dari kuartal sebelumnya.
Kawasan Amerika: Kantor statitisk Statistics Canada melaporkan adanya penurunan kinerja sektor konsumsi pada ekonomi negara tersebut, yang ditujukkan dengan adanya perlambatan pada indikator Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI).
Rilis aktual menunjukkan bahwa indikator RMPI m/m turun menjadi 0.3% dimana sebelumnya diperkirakan akan turun menjadi 3.1% dari nilai pada periode sebelumnya yaitu 4.2% . Perlambatan tersebut lebih besar dari perkiraan sebelumnya.
Kawasan Inggris dan Eropa: Indikator Construction PMI dilaporkan meningkat menjadi 56.5 dimana sebelumnya diperkirakan akan turun menjadi 53.0 dari nilai sebelumnya yaitu 53.7. Namun demikian keyakinan terhadap Sterling tersebut masih menghadapi kendala dengan memanasnya situasi di Timur Tengah. Data aktual indikator German Retail Sales m/m dilaporkan mengalami peningkatan menjadi 1.4% dimana sebelumnya diperkirakan akan naik menjadi 0.5% dari 0.3%.Dalam laporannya Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) lebih lanjut mengemukakan bahwa setelah melalui seasonal adjustment turnover penjualan pada Januari lalu naik seitar 1.3% secara nominal atau sekitar 1.4% secara riil.
FOREX; nilai tukar mata uang dollar bergerak melemah terhadap kelompok major currencies lainnya setelah meredanya gejolak di Mesir dan isyu bahwa the Fed masih tidak akan menaikkan suku bunganya dalam waktu dekat ini, dengan index dollar AS berakhir di level 77.630.
Sementara itu, pekan yang lalu euro cenderung menguat setelah sempat satu anggota ECB menyebutkan perlunya ECB menaikkan suku bunga di tengah tekanan inflasi global, berakhir di level 1.3687. Untuk setengah minggu berjalan ini market range akan berada antara level resistance pada 1.3858dan berikutnya di 1.4278, sedangkan level support di 1.3423 dan kemudian pada 1.3240.
POUNDSTERLING; setelah minggu lalu umumnya menguat Vs. dollar hampir 300 pips ke level 1. 6235, sejalan dengan melemahnyaUSD secara gloal. Untuk minggu ini, level resistance terdekat masih pada 1.6300 dan kemudian 1.6460, sedang support berada pada 1.5960 dan kemudian 1. 5745. Untuk USDJPY minggu lalu cenderung terkoreksi. Pasar pada setengah minggu ini berada di antara resistance pada 84.50 dan 86.00, serta support level pada 80.90 dan 80.22. Sementara itu, Aussie dollar terpantau seminggu lewat rebound oleh kenaikan komoditas minyak ditutup pada level 1.0147. Range minggu ini tetap antara resistance 1.0230 dan 1.03 sementara support level di 0.9794.
Global Economy: Wall Street stock market last week continued to bounce back in the third week by the Fed's prediction that an increase of U.S. economic growth and a number of positive financial statements, after reaching its highest level 32 months from June 2008 to S & P 500. The situation Libya has become the main cause. Expects ", Dow Jones Industrial this week still in the area of the bullish-trend towards the next resistance level to 12 600 and 13 130, while support at 11,800 level and then at 11,450. S & P 500 Index last week rose; resistance is now at 1440 levels, while the level of support was in 1252 and 1175.
Several important economic news releases, where the American on Monday will be a public holiday because of President's Day. In general, economic data releases that would need to be considered this week are:
Australian Region:-Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) today (03-02) reported an increase in performance on the Australian economy. Actual release of the ABS show that the indicators of GDP q / q rise to 0.7% that previously expected to increase to 0.6% of the value at the last period is 0.1%. It shows that Australia's GDP in the fourth quarter 2010 grew by about 0.7% from the previous quarter.
American Regions: Statistics Canada statitisk Office reported a decrease in the consumption sector in the economic performance of these countries, which ditujukkan with the slowdown in the indicators of the Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI).
The actual release showed that the indicator RMPI m / m down to 0.3% that previously expected to fall to 3.1% of the value in the previous period is 4.2%. Deceleration is greater than previous estimates.
Regions UK and Europe: Indicators of Construction PMI rose to 56.5 which was reported previously expected to fall to 53.0 from the previous value of 53.7. However, confidence in the Sterling is still facing problems with overheating in the situation in the Middle East. Actual data indicator Germany Retail Sales m / m was reported increased to 1.4% where previously expected to increase to 0.5% from 0.3%. In a report the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) further suggested that after going through a seasonal adjustment of the turnover of sales in January rose seitar 1.3% in nominal terms or approximately 1.4% in real terms.
FOREX: currency exchange rate moves to weaken the dollar against other currencies after the major groups of easing the turmoil in Egypt and the issues that the Fed still will not raise interest rates in the near future, with the U.S. dollar index ended at 77,630 level.
Meanwhile, last week the euro tend to be higher after the ECB had a member mentioned the need for the ECB to raise interest rates amid global inflationary pressures, ending at 1.3687 level. For a half weeks of running this market range will be between the resistance level at 1.4278 in the next 1.3858dan, while the support level at 1.3423 and then at 1.3240.
Pounds; after last week's generally stronger Vs. dollars almost 300 pips to level 1. 6235, in line with the gloal melemahnyaUSD. For this week, the nearest resistance level is at 1.6300 and then 1.6460, while support is at 1.5960 and then 1. 5745. For USDJPY last week tended corrected. Market in the first half of this week is between resistance at 84.50 and 86.00, and the support level at 80.90 and 80.22. Meanwhile, the Aussie dollar rebounds monitored weekly through the increase in oil commodity closed at 1.0147. This week range between resistance remains 1.0230 and 1:03 while the support level at 0.9794.
Market Economic Data Calendar :
Trading Plan
USD-JPY | |||
BUY | 82.46 | SELL | 82.01 |
BUY BREAK | 82.89 | SELL BREAK | 81.60 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.50 | STOP LOSS | 0.30 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
82.72 | 82.22 | 81.93 | Trend :Down |
83.01 | 81.43 | ||
83.51 | 81.14 | ||
AUD-USD | |||
BUY | 1.0172 | SELL | 1.0151 |
BUY BREAK | 1.0239 | SELL BREAK | 1.0079 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.0176 | 1.0148 | 1.0113 | Trend : Up |
1.0211 | 1.0085 | ||
1.0239 | 1.0050 | ||
EUR-USD | |||
BUY | 1.3953 | SELL | 1.3908 |
BUY BREAK | 1.4014 | SELL BREAK | 1.3830 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.4021 | 1.3929 | 1.3880 | Trend : Down |
1.4070 | 1.3788 | ||
1.4162 | 1.3739 | ||
GBP-USD | |||
BUY | 1.6313 | SELL | 1.6268 |
BUY BREAK | 1.6359 | SELL BREAK | 1.6216 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.6323 | 1.6289 | 1.6243 | Trend : Up |
1.6396 | 1.6209 | ||
1.6403 | 1.6163 | ||
USD-CHF | |||
BUY | 0.9311 | SELL | 0.9266 |
BUY BREAK | 0.9369 | SELL BREAK | 0.9196 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
0.9346 | 0.9287 | 0.9252 | Trend : Down |
0.9381 | 0.9193 | ||
0.9440 | 0.9158 | ||
EUR-JPY | |||
BUY | 113.46 | SELL | 113.01 |
BUY BREAK | 113.99 | SELL BREAK | 112.54 |
TAKE PROFIT | 000.50 | STOP LOSS | 000.30 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
115.83 | 114.46 | 113.77 | Trend : Down |
116.52 | 112.40 | ||
117.89 | 111.71 | ||
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