Selasa, 08 Maret 2011

Analisa Forex Market 8 Maret 2011

USD/CHF 
Di perdagangan, Senin kemarin (7/3/2011), harga pembukaan USDCHF di 0.9259. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami potensi pembalikan arah naik pada kisaran sempit, diawali sedikit pelemahan ke level dasar 0.9233 kemudian rebound hingga level puncak 0.9273. Harga penutupan di 0.9264, ditandai dengan pola bullish harami cross.

Secara teknikal, terjadi pola "bullish harami" yaitu merupakan bentuk candlestick ganda dan suatu pola penurunan momentum bearish mengindikasi kemungkinan pembalikan arah dari dasar down trend menjadi arah naik tetapi harus menunggu konfirmasi formasi berikutnya. Konfirmasi tersebut berada di level 0.9327 (high, 4 Maret), apabila konfirmasi level tersebut tidak berhasil ditembus maka kemungkinan besar arah pergerakan lanjut turun.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan bergerak naik terbatas ke area 0.9278 - 0.9297 dan terjauh 0.9327/52 - 0.9368/90,0.9430. Jika terjadi penurunan sangat terbatas berpotensi ke area 0.9221 - 0.9198 dan terjauh 0.9179/42 - 0.9117. Perluasan resistance berada di 0.9384/90,0.9421/30,0.9465, 0.9505/22,0.9538/50,0.9566,0.9580/93,0.9614,0.9629,0.9645/54,0.9686 dan perluasan support di 0.9117,0.9100,0.9034,0.9013,0.9000,0.8847,0.8654,0.8408.

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi Swiss dan AS yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 0.9278 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 0.9297 dan terjauh berkisar 0.9320/7 - 0.9368. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 0.9221 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 0.9198 dan terjauh 0.9179 - 0.9142.



AUD/USD

Di perdagangan, Senin kemarin (7//3/2011), dibuka level 1.0142. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami sedikit penurunan dalam kisaran, diawali penguatan ke level puncak 1.0183 setelah berhasil melewati resistance 1.0150 (low, 4 Maret) kemudian pulled back hingga level dasar 1.0088. Harga penutupan di 1.0115, ditandai dengan candle bearish.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan bergerak turun sangat tebatas ke area 1.0088 - 1.0073/1.0057 dan terjauh 1.0040/15 - 1.0000/0.9978. Jika terjadi kenaikan terbatas kemungkinan ke area 1.0148 - 1.0170 dan terjauh 1.0185- 1.0199/1.0220. Perluasan resistance berada di 1.0220,1.0253,1.0275,1.0299,1.0314,1.0445 dan perluasan support di 1.0000,0.9978/81,0.9958/64,0.9941,0.9916,0.9901, 0.9854/63,0.9830/8,0.9801, 0.9773/87,0.9742/9.

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 1.0131 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 1.0148 dan terjauh berkisar 1.0170 - 1.0199. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 1.0088 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di 1.0073 dan terjauh kisaran 1.0057 - 1.0015. 


EUR/USD

Di perdagangan, Senin kemarin (7/3/2011), dibuka level 1.3987. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami pembalikan arah turun, diawali penguatan ke level puncak 1.4033 setelah berhasil melewati resistance 1.4003 (high, 4 Maret) kemudian pulled back hingga level dasar 1.3951. Harga penutupan di 1.3964, ditandai dengan candle shooting star.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan bergerak turun terbatas ke area 1.3935 - 1.3908/1.3888 dan terjauh 1.3870/51,1.3839/01 - 1.3777/39. Jika terjadi kenaikan terbatas berpotensi ke area 1.3997 - 1.4011 dan terjauh  1.4033/46 - 1.4069/76,1.4124. Perluasan resistance berada di 1.4124,1.4149/55,1.4186,1.4226,1.4278 dan perluasan support di 1.3851, 1.3829/38,1.3801,1.3777/82,1.3759,1.3718/29,39,1.3701/07,1.3656/68,1.3632/42,1.3589, 1.3566, 1.3522,1.3504,1.3472,1.3458,1.3425.

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi Eropa (gabungan 16 negara dalam satu mata uang euro) dan AS yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 1.3997 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 1.4011 dan terjauh berkisar 1.4033 - 1.4069/76. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 1.3951 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 1.3935 dan terjauh kisaran 1.3908 - 1.3870.



USD/JPY

Di perdagangan, Senin kemarin (7/3/2011), dibuka level 82.34. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami pembalikan arah naik, di awali penguatan tipis ke level puncak 82.38 kemudian pulled back hingga level dasar 81.91 setelah berhasil melewati support 82.20 (high, 4 Maret). Harga penutupan di 82.22, ditandai dengan candle hammer.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan bergerak naik terbatas ke area 82.62 -  82.78/85 dan terjauh 83.03/38 -  83.55,83.97/84.29. Jika terjadi penurunan terbatas berpotensi ke area 82.20 - 81.71/56 dan terjauh 81.29/10 - 80.62. Perluasan resistance berada di 83.55/61,83.70/75,83.90/7,84.12,84.29/39/49,84.62/71,85.07/11,85.38/44, 85.70, 85.92/4, 86.12, 86.36, 86.59,87.64,88.08 dan perluasan support di 81.10,80.95,80.62/51,80.31,79.13.  

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi Jepang dan AS yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 82.38 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 82.62 dan terjauh berkisar 82.78/85 - 83.38/41. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 82.20 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 81.91 dan terjauh kisaran 81.71 - 81.29/38.





GBP/USD

Di perdagangan, Senin kemarin (7/3//2011), harga pembukaan GBP/USD di 1.6265. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami penurunan, diawali penguatan ke level puncak 1.6342 setelah mampu tembus resistance 1.6334 (high, 3 Maret) kemudian pulled back hingga level dasar 1.6183 setelah berhasil melewati support 1.6215 (low, 2 Maret). Harga penutupan di 1.6201, ditandai dengan candle bearish.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan turun ke area 1.6150 - 1.6119/04 dan terjauh 1.6049/31 - 1.5979/88,1.5964 sebagai koreksi. Jika terjadi kenaikan terbatas berpotensi ke area 1.6222 - 1.6245 dan terjauh 1.6264/83 - 1.6306,1.6344/53. Perluasan resistance berada di 1.6329,1.6344/53,1.6379,1.6409,1.6431,1.6456,1.6534 dan perluasan support berada di 1.6049,1.6031,1.6012,1.5997,1.5979/88,1.5964,1.5914,1.5892, 1.5844,1.5823,1.5770, 1.5751, 1.5730,1.5719,1.5582.  

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 1.6222 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 1.6245 dan terjauh berkisar 1.6264 - 1.6306. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 1.6183 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 1.6150 dan terjauh kisaran 1.6119 - 1.6085.


USD / CHF
In trading on Monday (07/03/2011), the opening price USDCHF at 0.9259. The movement of this currency pair natural reversal potential rise in a narrow range, beginning a little weakening to a basic level of 0.9233 and then rebounded to peak levels of 0.9273. The closing price at 0.9264, marked by a pattern harami bullish cross.
Technically, there was a pattern of "bullish harami" which is a form of double candlestick pattern of decreasing momentum and a bearish reversal indicates the possibility of basic trend down into the ride but had to wait for confirmation of the next formation. Confirmation is located at the 0.9327 level (high, 4 March), when confirmation of the level is not successfully penetrated the most likely direction of further falls.

In Asian trading today, the currency pair is likely to move up confined to an area of 0.9278 - 0.9297 and farthest 0.9327/52 - 0.9368/90, 0.9430. If there is a decrease is very limited potential to an area of 0.9221 - 0.9198 and farthest 0.9179/42 - 0.9117. Expansion resistance at 0.9384/90, 0.9421/30, 0.9465, 0.9505/22, 0.9538/50, 0.9566,0.9580 / 93,0.9614,0.9629,0.9645 / 54,0.9686 and expansion of support in 0.9117,0.9100,0.9034,0.9013,0.9000 , 0.8847,0.8654,0.8408.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on Switzerland and the U.S. economic data that will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 0.9278 level will likely potential target towards the next resistance level at 0.9297 and 0.9320 furthest ranges / 7 - 0.9368. And when it is otherwise made it through support at 0.9221 level targets will likely have the potential towards the next support at 0.9198 level and furthest 0.9179 - 0.9142.

   
AUD / USD
In trading on Monday (7 / / 3 / 2011), opened the level of 1.0142. The movement of this currency pair experienced a slight decrease in the range, began strengthening to a peak level after successfully passing resistance 1.0183 1.0150 (low, 4 March) and then pulled back to the basic level 1.0088. The closing price at 1.0115, marked by a bearish candle.
In Asian trading today, the currency pair is moving down so enjoy unlimited possibilities to an area of 1.0088 - 1.0073/1.0057, and 1.0040/15 farthest - 1.0000/0.9978. If there is limited possibility to increase the area 1.0148 - 1.0170 and 1.0185, 1.0199/1.0220 farthest. The expansion was in 1.0220,1.0253,1.0275,1.0299,1.0314,1.0445 resistance and support expansion in 1.0000,0.9978 / 81,0.9958 / 64,0.9941,0.9916,0.9901, 0.9854/63, 0.9830 / 8,0.9801, 0.9773/87, 0.9742 / 9.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on U.S. economic data that will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 1.0131 level will likely potential target towards the next resistance level at 1.0148 and 1.0170 furthest ranges - 1.0199. And when it is otherwise made it through support at 1.0088 level targets will likely have the potential towards the next support at 1.0073 and the furthest range of 1.0057 - 1.0015. 




EUR / USD
In trading on Monday (07/03/2011), opened the level of 1.3987. The movement of this currency pair natural reversal down, started strengthening to the top level after successfully passing resistance 1.4033 1.4003 (high, 4 March) and then pulled back to the basic level 1.3951. The closing price at 1.3964, marked by the shooting star candle.
In Asian trading today, the currency pair is likely to move down is limited to an area of 1.3935 - 1.3908/1.3888 and farthest 1.3870/51, 1.3839/01 - 1.3777/39. If there is limited potential to increase the area 1.3997 - 1.4011 and farthest 1.4033/46 - 1.4069/76, 1.4124. Expansion of resistance are in 1.4124,1.4149 / 55,1.4186,1.4226,1.4278 and extension support at 1.3851, 1.3829/38, 1.3801,1.3777 / 82,1.3759,1.3718 / 29,39,1.3701 / 07,1.3656 / 68,1.3632 / 42 , 1.3589, 1.3566, 1.3522,1.3504,1.3472,1.3458,1.3425.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on European economic data (combined 16 countries in the euro single currency) and the U.S. which will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 1.3997 level will likely potential target towards the next resistance level at 1.4011 and 1.4033 furthest ranges - 1.4069/76. And when it is otherwise made it through support at 1.3951 level targets will likely have the potential towards the next support level at 1.3935 and the furthest range of 1.3908 - 1.3870.

USD / JPY
In trading on Monday (07/03/2011), opened the level of 82.34. The movement of this currency pair reversal of natural increase, in thin to begin strengthening the top level and then pulled back to 82.38 level after successfully passing the basic 81.91 82.20 support (high, 4 March). The closing price at 82.22, marked with hammer candle.
In Asian trading today, the currency pair is likely to move up confined to an area of 82.62 - and the furthest 82.78/85 83.03/38 - 83.55,83.97 / 84.29. If there is a decrease limited to potential areas of 82.20 - and the furthest 81.71/56 81.29/10 - 80.62. Expansion resistance at 83.55/61, 83.70/75, 83.90 / 7,84.12,84.29 / 39/49, 84.62/71, 85.07/11, 85.38/44, 85.70, 85.92 / 4, 86.12, 86.36, 86.59,87.64, 88.08 and extension support at 81.10,80.95,80.62 / 51,80.31,79.13.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on Japanese and U.S. economic data that will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 82.38 level will probably have the potential towards the target next resistance level of 82.62 and furthest ranges 82.78/85 - 83.38/41. And when it is otherwise made it through the support level of 82.20 in the target is likely to have the potential towards the next support level at 81.91 and the furthest range of 81.71 - 81.29/38.

GBP / USD
In trading on Monday (7 / 3 / / 2011), the opening price of GBP / USD at 1.6265. The movement of the currency pair is a natural decline, beginning strengthening to a level capable of penetrating the top of 1.6342 after 1.6334 resistance (high, 3 March) and then pulled back to level after successfully passing the basic 1.6183 1.6215 support (low, 2 March). The closing price at 1.6201, marked by a bearish candle.
In Asian trading today, the movement of the currency pair is likely to fall into the area 1.6150 - 1.6119/04 and 1.6049/31 farthest - 1.5979/88, 1.5964 as a correction. If there is limited potential to increase the area 1.6222 - 1.6245 and 1.6264/83 farthest - 1.6306,1.6344 / 53. Expansion of resistance are in 1.6329,1.6344 / 53,1.6379,1.6409,1.6431,1.6456,1.6534 and expansion of support are in 1.6049,1.6031,1.6012,1.5997,1.5979 / 88,1.5964,1.5914,1.5892, 1.5844,1.5823,1.5770, 1.5751, 1.5730,1.5719,1.5582.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on U.S. economic data that will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 1.6222 level will likely potential target towards the next resistance level at 1.6245 and 1.6264 furthest ranges - 1.6306. And when it is otherwise made it through support at 1.6183 level targets will likely have the potential towards the next support level at 1.6150 and the furthest range of 1.6119 - 1.6085.




Market Economic Data Calandar :
Date GMT+7 Currency
Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Chart
Tue
Mar 8
1:10 USD
FOMC Member Fisher Speaks




3:00am USD
Consumer Credit m/m

3.6B
6.1B
6:50am JPY
Bank Lending y/y


-1.8%
6:50am JPY
Current Account

1.19T
1.56T
6:50am JPY
M2 Money Stock y/y

2.3%
2.3%
7:01am GBP
BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y


2.3%
7:01am GBP
RICS House Price Balance

-25%
-31%
7:30am AUD
NAB Business Confidence


4
12:00pm JPY
Economy Watchers Sentiment

45.7
44.3
1:45pm CHF
Unemployment Rate

3.4%
3.5%
2:45pm EUR
French Trade Balance

-4.8B
-5.1B
Tentative EUR
French Gov Budget Balance


-148.8B
6:00pm EUR
German Factory Orders m/m

2.4%
-3.4%
8:00pm EUR
Buba President Weber Speaks




8:15pm CAD
Housing Starts

175K
170K
10:00pm USD
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism

51.8
50.9
11:00pm JPY
BOJ Gov Shirakawa Speaks















Trading Plan



USD-JPY
BUY
82.45
SELL
82.00
BUY BREAK
83.11
SELL BREAK
81.54
TAKE PROFIT
0.50
STOP LOSS
0.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

82.44
82.21
82.00
             Trend : Up
82.65

81.77

82.88

81.56





AUD-USD
BUY
1.0159
SELL
1.0114
BUY BREAK
1.0214
SELL BREAK
1.0070
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.0175
1.0135
1.0081
Trend : Down
1.0229

1.0041

1.0269

0.9987





EUR-USD
BUY
1.4009
SELL
1.3964
BUY BREAK
1.4064
SELL BREAK
1.3909
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.4016
1.3985
1.3936
Trend : Down
1.4065

1.3905

1.4096

1.3856





GBP-USD
BUY
1.6313
SELL
1.6268
BUY BREAK
1.6359
SELL BREAK
1.6216
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.6302
1.6244
1.6144
Trend : Down
1.6402

1.6086

1.6460

1.5986





USD-CHF
BUY
0.9281
SELL
0.9236
BUY BREAK
0.9429
SELL BREAK
0.9196
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

0.9281
0.9257
0.9242
Trend : Up
0.9296

0.9218

0.9320

0.9203






EUR-JPY
BUY
115.58
SELL
115.13
BUY BREAK
116.14
SELL BREAK
114.09
TAKE PROFIT
000.50
STOP LOSS
000.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

115.26
114.92
114.56
Trend : Down
115.62

114.22

115.96

113.86



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