Rabu, 16 Maret 2011

Analisa Forex Market 16 Maret 2011

EUR/USD
Di perdagangan, Selasa kemarin (15/3/2011), dibuka level 1.3986. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami doji, diawali pelemahan ke level dasar 1.3852 setelah berhasil melewati support 1.3901 (low, 14 Maret) kemudian rebound hingga level puncak 1.4009 setelah mampu tembus resistance 1.4001 (high, 14 Maret). Harga penutupan di 1.394, ditandai dengan candle dragonfly doji.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan bergerak turun terbatas ke area 1.3947,1.3931/21  - 1.3989/77 dan terjauh 1.3852/38 - 1.3802/1.3772. Jika terjadi kenaikan sangat terbatas berpotensi ke area 1.4009 - 1.4033 dan terjauh 1.4046 - 1.4076/1.4105. Perluasan resistance berada di 1.4124,1.4149/55,1.4186, 1.4226,1.4261,1.4278 dan perluasan support di 1.3815/02,1.3772,1.3748,1.3730,1.3717,1.3701,1.3656,1.3632/42,1.3589,1.3566,1.3522,1.3504, 1.3472,1.3458,1.3425.

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi Eropa (gabungan 16 negara dalam satu mata uang euro) dan AS 'Building Permits', 'PPI m/m' (20.30 WIB) yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 1.4009 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 1.4023/33 dan terjauh berkisar 1.4046 - 1.4105. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 1.3947 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 1.3931/21/12 dan terjauh kisaran 1.3989/77 - 1.3838.

USD/JPY
Di perdagangan, Selasa kemarin (15/3/2011), dibuka level 81.66. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami penurunan, di awali penguatan ke level puncak 82.01 kemudian pulled back hingga level dasar 80.59 setelah mampu tembus support 81.10 (low, 3 Januari). Harga penutupan di 80.75, ditandai dengan candle bearish.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pasangan mata uang ini kemungkinan bergerak turun sangat terbatas ke area 80.59 - 80.40/31 dan terjauh 80.03 - 79.75/17. Jika terjadi kenaikan sangat terbatas berpotensi ke area 81.30 - 81.62/73 dan terjauh 81.91/82.01 -  82.26/43. Perluasan resistance berada di 82.56/65,82.90/83.03,83.17,83.29/40,83.55/66,83.83,83.97,84.12,84.29/39/49, 84.62/71,85.07/11,85.38/44, 85.70, 85.92/4 dan perluasan support di 79.17,78.48.  

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi Jepang dan AS 'Building Permits', 'PPI m/m' (20.30 WIB) yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 81.30 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 81.62/73 dan terjauh berkisar 81.91/82.01 - 82.43. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 80.59 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 80.40/31/21 dan terjauh kisaran 80.03 - 79.39.

GBP/USD
Di perdagangan, Selasa kemarin (15/3//2011), harga pembukaan GBP/USD di 1.6172. Pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini alami pembalikan arah turun tajam, diawali penguatan tipis ke level puncak 1.6185 kemudian pulled back hingga level dasar 1.5979 setelah berhasil melewati support 1.6027 (low, 14 Maret). Harga penutupan di 1.6084, ditandai dengan candle bearish.

Di perdagangan Asia hari ini, pergerakan pasangan mata uang ini berada pada kisaran 1.6199-1.5977 dan kemungkinan turun terbatas ke area 1.6058/38 - 1.6008 dan terjauh 1.5979/77,1.5964/43 - 1.5893/83,1.5845. Jika terjadi kenaikan terbatas berpotensi ke area 1.6089 - 1.6104/17 dan terjauh 1.6147/60 - 1.6185/1.6256. Perluasan resistance berada di 1.6199/203, 1.6224, 1.6243/56,1.6273/8,1.6299,1.6329,1.6344/53,1.6379,1.6409,1.6431, 1.6456,1.6534 dan perluasan support berada di 1.5943,1.5914,1.5893,1.5845, 1.5819/23,1.5770,1.5751,1.5719/30,1.5695,1.5582.  

Selanjutnya, hari ini pelaku pasar fokus terhadap data ekonomi Inggris 'Claimant Count Change' (17.30 WIB) dan AS 'Building Permits', 'PPI m/m' (20.30 WIB) yang akan dirilis hari ini.

Apabila pasangan mata uang ini berhasil melewati resistance di level 1.6089 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju resistance berikutnya di level 1.6104/17 dan terjauh berkisar 1.6138/47 - 1.6185. Dan apabila sebaliknya berhasil melewati support di level 1.6058 target kemungkinan akan berpotensi menuju support berikutnya di level 1.6038/27 dan terjauh kisaran 1.6008 - 1.5964.






EUR / USD
In trading on Tuesday (15/03/2011), opened the level of 1.3986. The movement of this currency pair naturally doji, started weakening to a basic level of 1.3852 after successfully passing 1.3901 support (low, 14 March) and then rebounded to levels capable of penetrating the top of 1.4009 after 1.4001 resistance (high, 14 March). The closing price in 1394, marked by dragonfly doji candle.
In Asian trading today, the currency pair is likely to move down is limited to the area 1.3947,1.3931 / 21 - 1.3989/77 and 1.3852/38 farthest - 1.3802/1.3772. If the increase is very limited potential to an area of ​​1.4009 - 1.4033 and 1.4046 farthest - 1.4076/1.4105. Expansion of resistance are in 1.4124,1.4149 / 55,1.4186, 1.4226,1.4261,1.4278 and extension support at 1.3815/02, 1.3772,1.3748,1.3730,1.3717,1.3701,1.3656,1.3632 / 42,1.3589,1.3566,1.3522,1.3504, 1.3472 , 1.3458,1.3425.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on European economic data (combined 16 countries in the euro single currency) and the United States 'Building Permits', 'PPI m / m' (20:30 pm) will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 1.4009 level will likely potential target towards the next resistance at the 1.4023/33 level and furthest ranges 1.4046 - 1.4105. And when it is otherwise made it through support at 1.3947 level targets will likely have the potential towards the next support level 1.3931/21/12 and the furthest range 1.3989/77 - 1.3838.

 
USD / JPY
In trading on Tuesday (15/03/2011), opened the level of 81.66. The movement of this currency pair experienced a decrease, in the begin strengthening the top level and then pulled back 82.01 to 80.59 after basic level capable of penetrating support 81.10 (low, 3 January). The closing price at 80.75, was marked with a bearish candle.
In Asian trading today, the currency pair is likely to move down is limited to an area of ​​80.59 - and the furthest 80.03 80.40/31 - 79.75/17. If the increase is very limited potential to an area of ​​81.30 - and the furthest 81.91/82.01 81.62/73 - 82.26/43. Expansion resistance at 82.56/65, 82.90/83.03, 83.17,83.29 / 40,83.55 / 66,83.83,83.97,84.12,84.29 / 39/49, 84.62/71, 85.07/11, 85.38/44, 85.70, 85.92 / 4 and the expansion of support at 79.17,78.48.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on Japanese and U.S. economic data 'Building Permits', 'PPI m / m' (20:30 pm) will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 81.30 level will likely potential target towards the next resistance level at 81.62/73 and the farthest ranges 81.91/82.01 - 82.43. And when it is otherwise made it through the support level of 80.59 in the target is likely to have the potential towards the next support level 80.40/31/21 and the furthest range of 80.03 - 79.39.

 
GBP / USD
In trading on Tuesday (15 / 3 / / 2011), the opening price of GBP / USD at 1.6172. The movement of this currency pair fell sharply natural reversal, thin to begin strengthening the top level of 1.6185 and then pulled back to level after successfully passing the basic 1.5979 1.6027 support (low, 14 March). The closing price at 1.6084, marked by a bearish candle.
In Asian trading today, the movement of the currency pair is in the range of 1.6199-1.5977 and likely limited to an area down 1.6058/38 - 1.6008 and farthest 1.5979/77, 1.5964/43 - 1.5893/83, 1.5845. If there is limited potential to increase the area 1.6089 - 1.6104/17 and 1.6147/60 farthest - 1.6185/1.6256. The expansion of resistance located at 1.6199/203, 1.6224, 1.6243/56, 1.6273 / 8,1.6299,1.6329,1.6344 / 53,1.6379,1.6409,1.6431, 1.6456,1.6534 and expansion of support are in 1.5943,1.5914,1.5893,1.5845, 1.5819 / 23,1.5770,1.5751,1.5719 / 30,1.5695,1.5582.
Furthermore, today's market players focus on the UK economic data 'Claimant Count Change' (17.30 WIB) and the United States 'Building Permits', 'PPI m / m' (20:30 pm) will be released today.
If this currency pair made it through the resistance at the 1.6089 level will likely potential target towards the next resistance level and the furthest range 1.6138/47 1.6104/17 - 1.6185. And when it is otherwise made it through support at 1.6058 level targets will likely have the potential towards the next support at the 1.6038/27 level and the furthest range of 1.6008 - 1.5964.

Market Data Calendar :

Mar 16Filter 
DateTime & Date OptionsGMT+7CurrencyImpactDetailActualForecastPreviousChart
Wed
Mar 16
1:15amUSD
FOMC Statement
1:15amUSD
Federal Funds Rate
<0.25%
<0.25%
6:30amAUD
MI Leading Index m/m
0.8%
6:50amJPY
BSI Manufacturing Index
-8.0
7:30amAUD
Housing Starts q/q
-1.1%
-13.2%
9:00amCNY
CB Leading Index m/m
-0.5%
16th-18thCNY
Foreign Direct Investment ytd/y
23.4%
12:00pmJPY
BOJ Monthly Report
2:00pmGBP
BOE Gov King Speaks
4:30pmGBP
Claimant Count Change
1.2K
2.4K
4:30pmGBP
Average Earnings Index 3m/y
2.2%
1.8%
4:30pmGBP
Unemployment Rate
7.9%
7.9%
5:00pmCHF
ZEW Economic Expectations
-17.2
5:00pmEUR
CPI y/y
2.4%
2.4%
5:00pmEUR
Core CPI y/y
1.1%
1.1%
7:30pmCAD
Manufacturing Sales m/m
1.5%
0.4%
7:30pmUSD
Building Permits
0.58M
0.56M
7:30pmUSD
PPI m/m
0.7%
0.8%
7:30pmUSD
Core PPI m/m
0.2%
0.5%
7:30pmUSD
Current Account
-111B
-127B
7:30pmUSD
Housing Starts
0.58M
0.60M
9:30pmUSD
Crude Oil Inventories
2.5M

Trading Plan



USD-JPY
BUY
81.35
SELL
80.90
BUY BREAK
82.49
SELL BREAK
80.54
TAKE PROFIT
0.50
STOP LOSS
0.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

81.62
81.11
80.19
             Trend : Down
82.54

79.68

83.05

78.76





AUD-USD
BUY
0.9971
SELL
0.9926
BUY BREAK
1.0169
SELL BREAK
0.9804
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.0075
0.9947
0.9785
Trend : Down
1.0237

0.9687

1.0365

0.9485





EUR-USD
BUY
1.3982
SELL
1.3937
BUY BREAK
1.4040
SELL BREAK
1.3804
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.4057
1.3958
1.3900
Trend : Up
1.4115

1.3801

1.4214

1.3743





GBP-USD
BUY
1.6105
SELL
1.6060
BUY BREAK
1.6209
SELL BREAK
1.5977
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.6183
1.6081
1.5974
Trend : Down
1.6290

1.5872

1.6392

1.5765





USD-CHF
BUY
0.9205
SELL
0.9160
BUY BREAK
0.9318
SELL BREAK
0.9119
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

0.9255
0.9181
0.9115
Trend : Up
0.9291

0.9071

0.9335

0.9005






EUR-JPY
BUY
114.14
SELL
113.69
BUY BREAK
114.89
SELL BREAK
112.89
TAKE PROFIT
000.50
STOP LOSS
000.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

114.42
113.19
111.74
Trend : Down
115.87

110.51

117.10

109.06

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