Euro berada di $1.3573 pukul 12.30 WIB dibanding dengan $1.3600 Jum'at pagi di Asia, sementara dollar AS berada di Y83.48 dibanding dengan Y83.22.
Sikap menantang Mubarak terus menimbulkan ketidakpastian politik yang mendidih di Mesir sebagai demonstran berbaris marah menuju istana presiden, meningkatkan ketakutan di mana situasi bisa mengubah kekerasan.
"Situasi Mesir adalah berita kekhawatiran resiko beberapa jam lalu. Tidak ada pertanyaan tentang itu," ujar pakar Westpac Bank Imre Speizer.
Trader senior HiFX Stuart Ive mengatakan euro mungkin menghadapi tekanan lebih lanjut setelah keputusan Mubarak.
"Pasar membiarkan dengan skenario khawatir resiko. Mubarak tidak membiarkan dan ada ancaman jelas dari orang-orang di jalanan yang menginginkan dia pergi sekarang. Hal itu membiarkan banyak pertanyaan," ujar Ive.
Tetapi dia menambahkan bahwa investor juga dicemaskan lagi tentang persoalan utang Eropa setelah the European Central Bank (ECB) meyakini luas telah melangkah dan membeli obligasi Portugal Kamis malam, setelah yield mereka 'top up'.
"Jika anda menggabungkan situasi Portugal dengan situasi yang tidak berubah di Mesir saya tidak akan terkejut melihat penurunan ini pada kecenderungan turun di euro berlanjut untuk sementara waktu," ujarnya.
Bagaimanapun, Pakar Bank of New Zealand Mike Hollows mengatakan penggerak utama untuk euro yaitu ekspektasi tentang suku bunga ECB, juga sentimen dollar AS luas. Dia mengatakan perhatian sekarang akan fokus pada data AS yang akan dirilis di hari global nanti, juga komentar dari Presiden ECB Jean-Claude Trichet di Jerman.
Dollar Australia sedikit turun setelah Gubernur Reserve Bank of Australia Glenn Stevens mengatakan RBA tidak merenungkan suatu kenaikan suku bunga sekarang. Dolalr Australia berada di US$0.9983 pukul 12.30 WIB dari sekitar US$1.0037 sebelum pidato Stevens. Mata uang ini telah melambung banyak sekitar paritas di hari Jum'at setelah penurunan awal yang dipicu pidato Stevens.
"Kami cenderung arah turun selanjutnya di pasangan mata uang ini tetapi di 0.97 atau 0.98, itu hanya terlalu banyak," ujar Rob Ryan, seorang analis FX bersama BNP Paribas di Singapura. "Pada tahap itu, kami akan mengatakan, 'Okay, mari kita berbalik dan bergerak dengan cara lain.' "
Kerja keras dolar Australia terkena dampak pada mitranya di Selandia Baru, yang berada di $0.7597 pukul 12.30 WIB versus 0.7628 sebelumnya di Selandia Baru.
Dollar AS pun makin kuat terhadap won Korea seiring pihak asing menjual banyak secara aktif di pasar saham dan the Bank of Korea memvoting untuk menjaga suku bunga bertahan. Dollar berada di 1,124.00 terhadap won pukul 12.30 WIB versus 1,117.00 Kamis kemarin di Seoul.
AUD/USD sedang mendapatkan kekuatan setelah mendorong di bawah paritas untuk pertama kali dalam sepekan di awal perdagangan, dengan Rob Ryan, seorang analis FX bersama BNP Paribas di Singapura.
Dia mengatakan bahwa masih cenderung pelemahan lagi di pasangan mata uang ini. AUD/USD berada di 0.9990 dari 1.0040 setelah Gubernur RBA Glenn Stevens memberi tanda bahwa suku bunga akan bertahan sementara waktu, kendati pasangan mata uang tersebut tergelincir ke level 0.9980 sebelum nelambung baru-baru ini.
"Kami cenderung turun selanjutnya di pasangan mata uang ini tetapi di 0.97 atau 0.98, itu hanya terlalu banyak.
Pada tahap itu, kami akan mengatakan OK, mari kita berbalik dan bergerak dengan cara lain," ujar Ryan, mencatat bahwa bond yields di Australia "hanya akan bergerak makin kuat dari sini."
USD/JPY sedang menguntungkan dari meningkatnya sentimen USD, ujar Dealer Senior ANZ Bank Alex Sinton.
Pasangan mata uang ini berada di 83.41 versus 83.22 di New York lalu.
"Meskipun outlook bullish lagi atas ekonomi pada ekonomi oleh Bank of Japan anda harus berpendapat bahwa tidak banyak sekali berita fantastis keluar dari sana.
Kisah AS, dengan naiknya potensi yield, tampak lebih menarik dan di beberapa titik waktu saya sedng mencari USD/JPY menembus makin kuat ke 85.98," ujar Sinton.
Jangka pendek, level berikut dari resistance adalah 83.56, ujarnya. Dia mencatat ada sedikit reaksi terhadap kekacauan yang berlangsung di Mesir.
U.S. Dollar rose on Friday (11 / 2) since President Hosni Mubarak's surprise decision to remain in office in the face of uncertainty sparked mass protests and a bid for the safest assets.
The euro was at $ 1.3573 at 12:30 GMT compared with $ 1.3600 Friday morning in Asia, while the U.S. dollar was at Y83.48 compared with Y83.22.
Mubarak defiantly continue to cause political uncertainty that boiling in Egypt as angry demonstrators marched towards the presidential palace, increase the fear in which the situation could turn violent.
"The situation of Egypt was the news concerns the risk of a few hours ago. No question about it," said Westpac Bank experts Imre Speizer.
HiFX senior trader Stuart Ive said euro may face further pressure after Mubarak's decision.
"The market is worried about the risk of letting the scenario. Mubarak did not allow and there are clear threats from people on the street who wanted him to go now. It let a lot of questions," says Ive.
But he added that investors also worry more about debt problems of Europe after the European Central Bank (ECB) has stepped widely believed and bought bonds Portugal on Thursday night, after the yield on their 'top up'.
"If you combine the situation of Portugal with a situation that has not changed in Egypt I would not be surprised to see this reduction in the downward trend in the euro to continue for some time," he said.
However, experts of the Bank of New Zealand Mike Hollows said the main drivers for the euro that is expectations about ECB interest rates, U.S. dollar sentiment is widespread. He said attention will now focus on U.S. data which will be released globally later in the day, as well as comments from ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet in Germany.
Australian Dollar fell slightly after the Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens said the RBA does not contemplate a rate hike now. Dolalr Australia at U.S. $ 0.9983 at 12:30 GMT from around U.S. $ 1.0037 before the speech Stevens. This currency has bounced around a lot of parity in the day Friday after the early decline triggered Stevens speech.
"We tend toward further down in this currency pair, but at 0.97 or 0.98, it was just too much," said Rob Ryan, an analyst with BNP Paribas FX in Singapore. "At that stage, we would say, 'Okay, let's turn around and move in other ways." "
The hard work of the Australian dollar impacted on its partners in New Zealand, which was at $ 0.7597 versus 0.7628 at 12.30 pm before in New Zealand.
U.S. dollar was stronger against the Korean won as the foreign party to sell more actively in the stock market and the Bank of Korea voted to keep interest rates persist. Dollar against the won was at 1,124.00 versus 1,117.00 at 12.30 am on Thursday in Seoul.
AUD / USD is getting strength after pushing below parity for the first time in a week in early trading, with Rob Ryan, an analyst with BNP Paribas FX in Singapore.
He said that still tends to the weakening again in this currency pair. AUD / USD was at 0.9990 from 1.0040 after the RBA Governor Glenn Stevens signaled that interest rates will last a while, despite the currency pair fell to as low as 0.9980 before nelambung recently.
"We tend to go down further in this currency pair, but at 0.97 or 0.98, it's just too much.
At that stage, we'll say OK, let's turn around and move in other ways, "said Ryan, noting that bond yields in Australia" will only grow stronger moving from here. "
USD / JPY is benefiting from the rising sentiment the USD, said ANZ Bank senior dealer Alex Sinton.
This currency pair is 83.41 versus 83.22 in New York last.
"Despite the bullish outlook on the economy again on the economy by the Bank of Japan you have to believe that not a lot of fantastic news out of there. U.S. Acts, with the increase in yield potential, look more attractive and at some point in time I sedng seek USD / JPY into the 85.98 penetrate even stronger, "said Sinton.
Short term, following the level of resistance is 83.56, he said. He noted there was little reaction to the chaos that took place in Egypt.
TRADING PLAN FOREX | |||
USD-JPY | |||
BUY | 83.30 | SELL | 82.80 |
BUY BREAK | 84.00 | SELL BREAK | 82.35 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.50 | STOP LOSS | 0.30 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
83.62 | 83.03 | 82.68 | Trend : Up |
83.97 | 82.09 | ||
84.56 | 81.74 | ||
AUD-USD | |||
BUY | 1.0065 | SELL | 1.0015 |
BUY BREAK | 1.0120 | SELL BREAK | 0.9970 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.0078 | 1.0039 | 0.9987 | Trend : Down |
1.0130 | 0.9948 | ||
1.0169 | 0.9896 | ||
EUR-USD | |||
BUY | 1.3645 | SELL | 1.3595 |
BUY BREAK | 1.3750 | SELL BREAK | 1.3505 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.3672 | 1.3617 | 1.3518 | Trend :Down |
1.3771 | 1.3463 | ||
1.3826 | 1.3364 | ||
GBP-USD | |||
BUY | 1.6100 | SELL | 1.6055 |
BUY BREAK | 1.6145 | SELL BREAK | 1.6010 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.6139 | 1.6076 | 1.6015 | Trend : Down |
1.6200 | 1.5952 | ||
1.6263 | 1.5891 | ||
USD-CHF | |||
BUY | 0.9675 | SELL | 0.9635 |
BUY BREAK | 0.9730 | SELL BREAK | 0.9585 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
0.9726 | 0.9655 | 0.9608 | Trend :Up |
0.9773 | 0.9537 | ||
0.9844 | 0.9490 | ||
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