• Dari kawasan Amerika: berupa rilis data CB Consumer Confidence pada Selasa malam; lalu data perumahan yaitu Existing Home Sales pada Rabu malam; data Core Durable Goods Orders serta data tenaga kerja Unemployment Claims mingguan yang biasa menjadi perhatian pasar dirilis pada Kamis malam; serta data awal Prelim GDP q/q di Jumat malam.
o Dari kawasan Inggris dan Eropa: berupa data German Ifo Business Climate pada Senin sore; data MPC Meeting Minutes Inggris akan jadi perhatian bagaimana kecenderungan kemungkinan kenaikan suku bunga di Inggris pada Rabu sore; serta Revised GDP q/q Inggris pada hari Jumat sore.
Minggu lalu di pasar forex, nilai tukar mata uang dollar bergerak melemah terhadap kelompok major currencies lainnya setelah meredanya gejolak di Mesir dan isyu bahwa the Fed masih tidak akan menaikkan suku bunganya dalam waktu dekat ini, dengan index dollar AS berakhir di level 77.630. Sementara itu, pekan yang lalu euro cenderung menguat setelah sempat satu anggota ECB menyebutkan perlunya ECB menaikkan suku bunga di tengah tekanan inflasi global, berakhir di level 1.3687. Untuk minggu berjalan ini market range akan berada antara level resistance pada 1.3858dan berikutnya di 1.4278, sedangkan level support di 1.3423 dan kemudian pada 1.3240.
Poundsterling minggu lalu umumnya menguat vs dollar hampir 300 pips ke level 1. 6235, sejalan dengan melemahnyaUSD secara gloal. Untuk minggu ini, level resistance terdekat masih pada 1.6300 dan kemudian 1.6460, sedang support berada pada 1.5960 dan kemudian 1. 5745. Untuk USDJPY minggu lalu cenderung terkoreksi. Pasar di minggu ini berada di antara resistance pada 84.50 dan 86.00, serta support level pada 80.90 dan 80.22. Sementara itu, Aussie dollar terpantau seminggu lewat rebound oleh kenaikan komoditas minyak ditutup pada level 1.0147. Range minggu ini tetap antara resistance 1.0230 dan 1.03 sementara support level di 0.9794.
Untuk pasar di stock index futures, pada minggu lalu indeks Nikkei masih melanjutkan bullish-nya oleh ekspektasi pemulihan ekonomi, berakhir di 10855. Minggu nanti Nikkei berjangka akan dalam rentangan resistance terdekat pada 11210 dan level berikutnya di 11380. Adapun support pada level 10150 dan lalu 9906. Sementara itu, Indeks Hang Seng berjangka di Hong Kong minggu lalu sempat terdongkrak sekitar 900’an poin, ditutup di level 23583. Minggu ini akan berada dalam range level resistance di 24467 dan berikutnya 24957, sementara support-nya di 22780 selanjutnya 22415.
Bursa saham Wall Street minggu lalu kembali menguat terus di minggu yang ketiganya oleh prediksi the Fed bahwa yang menaikkan pertumbuhan ekonomi AS serta sejumlah laporan keuangan yang positif. S&P 500 Index dilaporkan mencapai level 32 bulan tertingginya sejak Juni 2008. Dow Jones Industrial minggu ini masih dalam bullish-trend menjelang level resistance berikutnya ke 12600 dan 13130, sementara support di level 11800 dan kemudian pada 11450. Index S&P 500 minggu lalu juga menguat; resistance sekarang di level 1440, sementara level support berada di 1252 dan 1175.
Untuk pasar emas, minggu lalu menguat di tengah kenaikan harga minyak yang signifikan bersaman dengan melemahnya US dollar. Emas di LLG minggu lalu berakhir pada level $1388.10 per troy ounce. Untuk sepekan ke depan emas akan diuji untuk menembus level $1400 kembali, dengan rentang berada antara level resistance terdekat pada $1393 lalu level $1432. Sementara itu, support ada di $1345 serta support berikut $1307 per troy ounce.
Bila diperhatikan belakangan ini, di antara situasi eskalasi geopolitik kawasan Arab dan Timur Tengah berembus sentimen harapan pemulihan ekonomi global. Pasar investasi menjadi makin dinamis dalam situasi ini. Terjadi pergulatan bull vs bear yang seru kembali. Begitulah karakteristik dunia investasi. Tidak usah heran, Anda tinggal mempelajarinya, menyimak dan ambil keputusan investasi Anda dengan cepat dan taktis.
For the global economic indicators, in this week will be filled some important economic news releases. America on Monday will be a public holiday because of President's Day. In general, economic data releases that investors would need to be considered this week are: • From the Americas: a CB Consumer Confidence data releases on Tuesday night, and housing data that Existing Home Sales on Wednesday night; Core Durable Goods Orders data and data workers Unemployment Claims Typical weekly market attention was released on Thursday night, as well as data early Prelim GDP q / q in the Friday night. o From the UK and European regions: the form of data Ifo Business Climate Germany on Monday afternoon; data UK MPC Meeting Minutes will be attention to how the tendency of the possibility of higher interest rates in the UK on Wednesday afternoon, as well as the Revised GDP q / q Britain on Friday afternoon.
Last week in the forex market, currency exchange rate moves dollar weakened against the other major currencies after easing the turmoil in Egypt and the issues that the Fed still will not raise interest rates in the near future, with the U.S. dollar index ended at 77,630 level. Meanwhile, last week the euro tend to be higher after the ECB had a member mentioned the need for the ECB to raise interest rates amid global inflationary pressures, ending at 1.3687 level. To run this week market will be range between resistance level at 1.4278 in the next 1.3858dan, while the support level at 1.3423 and then at 1.3240.
Pounds Sterling last week versus the dollar generally rose nearly 300 pips to level 1. 6235, in line with the gloal melemahnyaUSD. For this week, the nearest resistance level is at 1.6300 and then 1.6460, while support is at 1.5960 and then 1. 5745. For USDJPY last week tended corrected. Markets this week were among the resistance at 84.50 and 86.00, and the support level at 80.90 and 80.22. Meanwhile, the Aussie dollar rebounds monitored weekly through the increase in oil commodity closed at 1.0147. This week range between resistance remains 1.0230 and 1:03 while the support level at 0.9794.
For the market in stock index futures, at last week's Nikkei index is still continuing its bullish by expectations of economic recovery, ending at 10,855. Sunday Nikkei futures will be in the range of the nearest resistance at 11,210 and the next level at 11,380. The support at 10,150 level and then 9906. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng index futures in Hong Kong last week had terdongkrak around 900'an points, closing at 23,583 levels. This week will be in the range of resistance level at 24,467 and 24,957 the next, while his support in the next 22 780 22 415.
Wall Street stock market last week continued to bounce back in the third week by the Fed's prediction that an increase of U.S. economic growth and a number of positive financial report. S & P 500 Index is reported to level 32 months its highest since June 2008. Dow Jones Industrial this week-still in a bullish trend towards the next resistance level to 12 600 and 13 130, while support at 11,800 level and then at 11,450. S & P 500 Index last week rose; resistance is now at 1440 levels, while the level of support was in 1252 and 1175.
For the gold market, rose last week amid a significant increase in oil prices bersaman with the weakening U.S. dollar. Gold in LLG last week end at the level of $ 1,388.10 per troy ounce. For next week gold will be tested to penetrate the $ 1,400 level again, with the range being between the nearest resistance level at $ 1,393 and $ 1,432 levels. Meanwhile, support is at $ 1,345 and below $ 1,307 support per troy ounce.
When observed in recent years, escalating geopolitical situation in the Arab region and the Middle East blowing sentiment of global economic recovery hopes. Investment markets become more dynamic in this situation. Occur struggle bull vs. bear an exciting return. That characteristic of the investment world. Do not be surprised, you just learn, listen and take your investment decisions quickly and tactical.
Market Data Calendar :
Date | Currency | Impact | Detail | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Chart |
Trading Plan
USD-JPY | |||
BUY | 83.35 | SELL | 82.89 |
BUY BREAK | 83.75 | SELL BREAK | 82.38 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.50 | STOP LOSS | 0.30 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
83.36 | 83.10 | 82.67 | Trend : Down |
83.79 | 82.41 | ||
84.05 | 81.98 | ||
AUD-USD | |||
BUY | 1.0110 | SELL | 1.0064 |
BUY BREAK | 1.0160 | SELL BREAK | 1.0014 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.0119 | 1.0085 | 1.0036 | Trend : Down |
1.0168 | 1.0002 | ||
1.0202 | 0.9953 | ||
EUR-USD | |||
BUY | 1.3680 | SELL | 1.3634 |
BUY BREAK | 1.3718 | SELL BREAK | 1.3580 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.3684 | 1.3655 | 1.3604 | Trend : Down |
1.3735 | 1.3575 | ||
1.3764 | 1.3524 | ||
GBP-USD | |||
BUY | 1.6231 | SELL | 1.6186 |
BUY BREAK | 1.6281 | SELL BREAK | 1.6115 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.6231 | 1.6207 | 1.6162 | Trend : Down |
1.6276 | 1.6138 | ||
1.6300 | 1.6093 | ||
USD-CHF | |||
BUY | 0.9490 | SELL | 0.9445 |
BUY BREAK | 0.9572 | SELL BREAK | 0.9414 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
0.9487 | 0.9466 | 0.9444 | Trend : Down |
0.9509 | 0.9423 | ||
0.9530 | 0.9401 |
EUR-JPY | |||
BUY | 113.62 | SELL | 113.17 |
BUY BREAK | 114.19 | SELL BREAK | 112.74 |
TAKE PROFIT | 000.50 | STOP LOSS | 000.30 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
113.85 | 113.38 | 112.57 | Trend : Down |
114.66 | 112.10 | ||
115.13 | 111.29 |
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