Jumat, 18 Februari 2011

Analisa Forex, 18 Februari 2011

Kawasan Australia: Data aktual indikator MI Leading Index m/m yang dirilis oleh Melbourne Institute dilaporkan mengalami peningkatan menjadi 0.8% dimana nilai perode lalu adalah 0.0%, menunjukan sinyalemen adanya perkembangan positif pada ekonomi Australia yang berimbas kepada penguatan Aussie.
Kawasan Amerika: Menurunnya Core Retail Sales m/m di bawah ekspektasi yang sebelumnya diperkirakan akan dapat tumbuh menjadi 0.6%, ternyata hanya 0.3%, mengakibatkan Dollar AS terpantau berbalik melemah terhadap Yen Jepang. Pasangan mata uang USD/JPY ini diperkirakan masih dapat melemah. Sementara itu Indikator Housing Starts yang mengalami kenaikan menjadi 0.60M dimana sebelumnya diperkirakan akan naik menjadi 0.55M dari nilai sebelumnya yaitu 0.52M, menghasilkan Dollar AS menguat terhadap Dollar Kiwi. Untuk Indikator Core PPI m/m yang dilaporkan Department of Labor Amerika Serikat terjadinya penurunan menjadi 0.5% dimana sebelumnya diperkirakan akan tetap menjadi 0.2%, mengakibatkan nilai tukar Aussie terpantau melemah terhadap Dollar AS.
Indikator Claimant Count Change dilaporkan mengalami penurunan kinerja dan mengalami kenaikan angka menjadi 2.4K dimana sebelumnya diperkirakan akan naik menjadi -3.2K dari nilai sebelumnya yaitu -4.1K, mengakibatkan Poundsterling terpantau berbalik melemah terhadap Dollar AS.
Kawasan Jepang: Untuk Indikator Tertiary Industry Activity m/m yang dirilis Kementrian Ekonomi dan Industri Jepang METI kembali menurun menjadi -0.8% dimana sebelumnya diperkirakan akan turun menjadi -0.5% dari nilai pada periode sebelumnya yaitu 0.5%, direspon dengan meningkatnya minat investor di pasar forex untuk melepas Yen Jepang , sehingga mata uang tersebut bergerak melemah pada pair GBP/JPY. 



FOREX.Adanya optimisme peningkatan kinerja ekonomi Australia berimbas pada semakin diminatinya Aussie oleh investor forex, pasangan mata uang AUD/USD ini diperkirakan masih dapat menguat lebih lanjut, dan diperkirakan akan menghadapi resistance pada kisaran 1.0099. Sementara itu Rilis data terakhir indikator ZEW Economic Expectations yang dirilis oleh Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) hari ini, berpotensi melemahkan Swissie lebih lanjut, diperkirakan akan menghadapi resistance pada kisaran 0.9623 .
POUNDSTERLING. Paparan Gubernur Bank Of England, Mervyn King mengenai perkembangan tingkat inflasi di Inggris, direspon dengan meningkatnya minat investor di pasar forex untuk melepas Poundsterling , sehingga mata uang tersebut bergerak melemah pada pair GBP/USD. 





Regions Australia: The actual data MI Leading Index indicator m / m which was released by the Melbourne Institute reported increased to 0.8% where the value is 0.0% perode ago, shows indication of positive developments in Australia's economic impact to the strengthening Aussie.

Regions America: Reduced Core Retail Sales m / m below previous expectations is expected to grow to 0.6%, was only 0.3%, was observed to turn resulted in U.S. dollar weakened against the Japanese yen. Currency pair USD / JPY is expected to still be weakened. Meanwhile, Housing Starts indicator which increased to 0.60M where previously expected to increase to 0.55M 0.52M from the previous value, resulting in U.S. dollar strengthened against the Kiwi dollar. For Indicators Core PPI m / m which reported the United States Department of Labor to be 0.5% decline in the previous which is expected to remain 0.2%, resulting in the Aussie exchange rate was observed to weaken against the U.S. dollar. Claimant Count Change Indicators reported decreased performance and increased to 2.4K where the previous figure may rise to-3.2K from the previous value-4.1K, was observed to turn resulted in pound sterling weakened against the U.S. dollar.


Regions of Japan: For Indicators Tertiary Industry Activity m / m which released the Japanese Ministry of Economy and Industry METI again declined to -0.8%, where previously expected to fall to -0.5% from the value at the previous period is 0.5%, responded with increasing interest of investors in the market Japanese Yen forex to remove, so that it moves the currency weakened on GBP / JPY.


FOREX.There is optimism increase Australia's economic performance resulted in more people want the Aussie by investors forex, currency pair AUD / USD is expected to still be strengthened further, and is expected to face resistance at around 1.0099.Meanwhile, the latest data release ZEW Economic Expectations indicator released by the Zentrum fur Europaische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) today, potentially further weaken Swissie, is expected to face resistance at around 0.9623.


Pounds. Exposure to the Bank of England governor, Mervyn King on inflation developments in the UK, responded to the increasing interest of investors in the forex market to remove the pound sterling, so that it moves the currency weakened on GBP / USD.




Trading Plan




USD-JPY
BUY
83.65
SELL
83.20
BUY BREAK
84.00
SELL BREAK
82.83
TAKE PROFIT
0.50
STOP LOSS
0.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

83.67
83.41
83.09
                        Trend : Down
83.99

82.83

84.25

82.51





AUD-USD
BUY
1.0111
SELL
1.0067
BUY BREAK
1.0170
SELL BREAK
1.0010
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.0155
1.0088
1.0049
Trend : Up
1.0194

0.9982

1.0261

0.9943





EUR-USD
BUY
1.3616
SELL
1.3571
BUY BREAK
1.3685
SELL BREAK
1.3520
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.3647
1.3592
1.3556
Trend : Up
1.3683

1.3501

1.3738

1.3465





GBP-USD
BUY
1.6171
SELL
1.6123
BUY BREAK
1.6245
SELL BREAK
1.6085
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

1.6212
1.6144
1.6103
Trend : Up
1.6253

1.6035

1.6321

1.5994





USD-CHF
BUY
0.9550
SELL
0.9505
BUY BREAK
0.9650
SELL BREAK
0.9454
TAKE PROFIT
0.0050
STOP LOSS
0.0030
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

0.9572
0.9526
0.9450
Trend : Down
0.9648

0.9404

0.9694

0.9328






EUR-JPY
BUY
113.60
SELL
113.14
BUY BREAK
114.00
SELL BREAK
112.
TAKE PROFIT
000.50
STOP LOSS
000.30
RESISTANCE
PIVOT
SUPPORT

113.73
113.39
113.13
Trend : Up
113.99

112.79

114.33

112.53

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