Analisa Forex dan LLG / Forex Analysis and LLG

USD/CHF bertahan di atas kunci support teknikal di 0.9309 setelah menembus 0.9404, Fibonacci retracement 78.6% dari kenaikan bulan Desember-Januari, ujar Commerzbank. "Ini terlihat seperti pertahanan terakhir untuk area 0.9309," ujar analis teknikal Karen Jones. "Secara idelal kami akan melihat pertahanan ini, bagaimanapun mengetahui tampak terbuka, dan kegagalan di sini akan memiliki target 0.9120," tambahnya. Perdagangan USD/CHF berada di 0.9346. Euro dan pound naik ke level high baru multi-bulan terhadap dollar di Asia, Rabu (2/2), seiring ekuitas regional kuat mendesak investor untuk membeli mata uang sensitif resiko. Kenaikan didukung spekulasi naiknya inflasi di EU dan Inggris bisa memimpin kenaikan suku bunga dalam waktu dekat di area itu. Dealer mengatakan perhatian untuk sisa hari global pada indeks harga produsen EU untuk Desember, akan dirilis pukul 17.00 WIB, dan data pekerjaan AS untuk Januari dari payroll giant Automatic Data Processing Inc. Penguatan angka-angka EU dapat melambungkan euro lebih lanjut, kendati data AS kuat tidak mungkin banyak membantu dollar, ujar dealer, seperti pasar tenaga kerja masih jauh bergerak, menjaga pengetatan jalan Federal Reserve. Bursa Asia kuat Rabu mendorong investor di Asia membeli mata uang sensitif resiko seperti euro dan pound terhadap safe-haven dollar,ujar trader. Kenaikan di ekuitas dipimpin acuan Nikkei Stock Average Jepang, naik 1.9% di perdagangan sore kemarin. Permintaan untuk yielding tertinggi, aset beresiko mendorong mata uang umum itu ke level high baru hampir 3 bulan di $1.3862, angka tertinggi sejak 9 November. Pukul 11.50 WIB, berada di $1.3860, naik dari $1.3829 di New York Selasa kemarin. Euro bisa naik ke $1.3890 nanti di hari global, ujar Satoshi Tate, dealer senior di Mizuho Corporate Bank. Pound juga menyentuh high baru hampir 3 bulan di $1.6182, tertinggi sejak 12 November. Sentimen ke arah pound terbantu data Selasa yang menunjukkan kegiatan manufaktur Inggris tumbuh di laju percepatan setidaknya 19 tahun di bulan Januari. "Bahkan jika data pekerjaan ADP kemudian hari ini kuat, itu tidak mungkin banyak membantu dollar," ujar Tate Mizuho. "Data The Institute for Supply Management manufaktur kuat kemarin, tetapi tidak memberikan dollar tetap melambung, karena asumsi sekarang bahwa the Fed akan menyusul the European Central Bank (ECB) dan lainnya di keluar dari program mengurangi luar biasa." Ekonom yang disurvei Dow Jones Newswires mengekspektasi data ADP menunjukkan perekonomian menambah 143,000 pekerjaan upah swasta di bulan Januari. Tetapi beberapa analis mengatakan cakupan untuk kejutan negatif yang dapat menghukum dollar AS. Perkiraan "terlalu bullish," ujar kepala pakar mata uang Jepang Barclays Capital Masafumi Yamamoto. "Ini cukup pandangan yang kuat ketika anda mempertimbangkan hasil rata-rata dari enam bulan lalu kecuali di bulan Desember." Dollar dapat muncul di bawah tekanan terhadap yen jika investor asing terus membeli ekuitas Jepang, ujar Yamamoto. "Jika tren ini berkelanjutan, itu akan menjadi pukulan lain terhadap dollar-yen." Pukul 11.50 WIB, dollar AS naik tipis di Y81.47 dari Y81.37 di New York Selasa kemarin, terlambung karena bargain hunting. Tetapi jatuh di bawah Y81.30 dapat memicu stop-loss order jual yang bisa mendorong jatuh lebih tajam, ujar Tate Mizuho. Indeks Dollar, yang mengukur mata uangnya terhadap sejumlah mata uang utama termasuk euro dan yen, berada di 76.918 dari 77.007.  USD/CHF jatuh di bawah level low saat ini di 0.9337 dengan menyentuh 0.9331, terendah sejak 4 Januari, seiring pelemahan umum USD menimbang pada pasangan mata uang ini. Di tengah pembicaraan baru-baru ini tentang kemungkinan beli bunga SNB mengalami penurunan lebih lanjut "pasti bisa membuat SNB kemungkinan tindakan," ujar Toshihiko Sakai, dealer senior FX di Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking. Dealer mengatakan target berikut penurunan selanjutnya di pasangan mata uang tersebut akan berada di 0.9301 sepanjang waktu low menandakan tahun lalu. USD/CHF berada di 0.9332. AUD / USD telah mengabaikan kendala yang tertahan rally di bulan Januari dan tampak mengetuk pintu level high mengambang di 1.0253 dalam waktu dekat, ujar John Horner, pakar mata uang di Deutsche Bank. Seperti keprihatinan berputar-putar atas ketenangan Mesir, dukungan meningkatkan sekitar mata uang lokal sekarang. Horner mengatakan lonceng mulai berbunyi untuk AUD, dan pembalikan tidak jauh. Dia menunjukkan tanda-tanda lain seperti; USD tampak mungkin mulai naik, RBA mungkin tertahan untuk beberapa bulan, negara-negara seperti Kanada berada pada titik kenaikan suku bunga dan pertumbuhan China bisa lambat seiring kebijakan diperketat.   GBP/USD naik ke level high baru mendekati 3 bulan di atas 1.6167 seiring investor di Asia terus membeli kuat sepanjang hari ini, setelah data Selasa menunjukkan kegiatan manufaktur di Inggris tumbuh di laju percepatan setidaknya 19 tahun di bulan Januari, ujar Satoshi Tate, dealer senior FX di Mizuho Corporate Bank. Dia memberi tip pasangan mata uang ini naik setinggi 1.6200 menjelang akhir hari global. Dia menambahkan, penembusan level itu akan membuka jalan mendaki ke 1.6260, membawa ke pandangan level tinggi saat ini menandakan di awal November sekitar 1.6300. "Ekspektasi Inflasi di Inggris dan pelemahan dollar sebagai mata uang pendanaan memberikan ekspektasi untuk the Fed melanjutkan dengan mengurangi adalah faktor-faktor utama." GBP/USD berada di 1.6162.   TRADING PLAN FOREX USD-JPY BUY 81.80 SELL 81.40 BUY BREAK 82.60 SELL BREAK 81.20 TAKE PROFIT 0.50 STOP LOSS 0.30 RESISTANCE PIVOT SUPPORT 81.84 81.60 81.35                         Trend :Down 82.09 81.11 82.33 80.86 AUD-USD BUY 1.0120 SELL 1.0080 BUY BREAK 1.0160 SELL BREAK 0.9999 TAKE PROFIT 0.0050 STOP LOSS 0.0030 RESISTANCE PIVOT SUPPORT 1.0144 1.0100 1.0067 Trend :Up 1.0177 1.0023 1.0221 0.9990 EUR-USD BUY 1.3835 SELL 1.3790 BUY BREAK 1.3885 SELL BREAK 1.3720 TAKE PROFIT 0.0050 STOP LOSS 0.0030 RESISTANCE PIVOT SUPPORT 1.3855 1.3812 1.3762 Trend : Up 1.3905 1.3719 1.3948 1.3669 GBP-USD BUY 1.6205 SELL 1.6160 BUY BREAK 1.6260 SELL BREAK 1.6005 TAKE PROFIT 0.0050 STOP LOSS 0.0030 RESISTANCE PIVOT SUPPORT 1.6236 1.6182 1.6135 Trend : Up 1.6283 1.6081 1.6337 1.6034 USD-CHF BUY 0.9415 SELL 0.9370 BUY BREAK 0.9485 SELL BREAK 0.9310 TAKE PROFIT 0.0050 STOP LOSS 0.0030 RESISTANCE PIVOT SUPPORT 0.9455 0.9392 0.9345 Trend :Down 0.9502 0.9282 0.9565 0.9235 LLG BUY 1337.10 SELL 1333.05 BUY BREAK 1351.50 SELL BREAK 1323.50 TAKE PROFIT 5 STOP LOSS 3 RESISTANCE PIVOT SUPPORT 1343.62 1335.08 1326.41 Trend :Down 1351.89 1318.47 1360.43 1310.00   USD / CHF stay above key technical support at 0.9309 after penetrating 0.9404, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the rise in December-January, says Commerzbank. "It looks like a last defense to 0.9309 area," said technical analyst Karen Jones. "In idelal we'll see this defense, however knowing looks open, and failure here will have a target of 0.9120," he added. Trade USD / CHF at 0.9346.   Euro and pound rise to the level of new multi-month high against the dollar in Asia on Wednesday (2 / 2), as strong regional equity urged investors to buy risk-sensitive currencies. The increase is supported speculation rising inflation in the EU and Britain can lead the hike in interest rates in the near future in the area. Dealers said the global attention for the rest of the day at the EU producer price index for December, will be released at 17.00 am, and U.S. jobs data for January from payroll giant Automatic Data Processing Inc.. Strengthening EU figures can be further boosted the euro, despite strong U.S. data can not be much help to the dollar, dealers said, as the labor market is still far to move, keep the Federal Reserve's tightening of the road. Stronger Asian stocks encouraged investors Wednesday in Asia to buy risk-sensitive currencies like the euro and pound against the safe-haven dollar, traders said. The increase in equity led Japan's benchmark Nikkei Stock Average, rose 1.9% in afternoon trading yesterday. Demand for the highest-yielding, riskier assets pushed the common currency into the new high level nearly 3 months at $ 1.3862, the highest since November 9. At 11:50 pm, was at $ 1.3860, up from $ 1.3829 in New York Tuesday. The euro could rise to $ 1.3890 later in the global day, said Satoshi Tate, senior dealer at Mizuho Corporate Bank.   The pound also touched a new high of nearly 3 months at $ 1.6182, the highest since November 12. Sentiment towards the pound helped data Tuesday showed UK manufacturing activity grew at the rate of acceleration at least 19 years old in January. "Even if the ADP jobs data later today is strong, it could not be much help to the dollar," said Tate Mizuho. "Data of The Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing strength yesterday, but gave no fixed dollar soared, because the assumption is that the Fed would follow the European Central Bank (ECB) and others in the exit from the program to reduce outstanding." Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires expected ADP data showed the economy added 143,000 private wage jobs in January. But some analysts said the scope for negative surprises that can punish the U.S. dollar.   Estimates "too bullish," said chief currency strategist at Barclays Capital Japan Masafumi Yamamoto. "It's pretty strong view when you consider the average of the last six months except in December." Dollar may appear under pressure against the yen if foreign investors continue to buy Japanese equities, says Yamamoto. "If this trend continued, it would be another blow against the dollar-yen." At 11:50 GMT, the dollar edged up at Y81.47 from Y81.37 in New York on Tuesday, terlambung due to bargain hunting. But it fell below Y81.30 to trigger stop-loss sell orders that can push down more sharply, Tate said Mizuho. The Dollar Index, which measures the currency against a number of major currencies including the euro and yen, was at 76,918 from 77,007. USD / CHF fell below the current low level at 0.9337 with a touching 0.9331, its lowest since January 4, as a general weakening of USD weighed on this currency pair. In the midst of talks recently about the possibility of buying interest SNB experienced a further decline "certainly can make SNB possibility of action," said Toshihiko Sakai, senior FX dealer at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking. Dealers said the next target further decline in the currency pair will be in the 0.9301 all time low mark last year. USD / CHF at 0.9332. AUD / USD has ignored the constraints that held rallies in January and appeared to knock on the door of high-level floating at 1.0253 in the near future, said John Horner, currency strategist at Deutsche Bank. As concerns swirled over Egypt's peace, support the local currency increased around today. Horner said the bells started ringing for AUD, and reversal is not far away. He showed other signs such as; USD looks likely begin to rise, the RBA may be detained for several months, countries such as Canada are at the point of rising interest rates and China's growth could slow as the tightened policy.   GBP / USD rose to a new high level close to 3 months above 1.6167 in Asia as investors continued to buy strong all day, after data on Tuesday showed UK manufacturing activity grew at the rate of acceleration at least 19 years old in January, said Satoshi Tate, senior dealer FX at Mizuho Corporate Bank. He gave the tip of this currency pair rose as high as 1.6200 by the end of the global day. He added that the penetration level that will pave the way to climb to 1.6260, bringing into view the current high level in early November marks around 1.6300. "Inflation Expectations in the UK and the weakening dollar as a funding currency gives expectations for the Fed to continue to reduce the main factors." GBP / USD was at 1.6162.   TRADING PLAN FOREX
USD-JPY
BUY	81.80	SELL	81.40
BUY BREAK	82.60	SELL BREAK	81.20
TAKE PROFIT	0.50	STOP LOSS	0.30
RESISTANCE	PIVOT	SUPPORT
81.84	81.60	81.35	Trend :Down
82.09		81.11
82.33		80.86
AUD-USD
BUY	1.0120	SELL	1.0080
BUY BREAK	1.0160	SELL BREAK	0.9999
TAKE PROFIT	0.0050	STOP LOSS	0.0030
RESISTANCE	PIVOT	SUPPORT
1.0144	1.0100	1.0067	Trend :Up
1.0177		1.0023
1.0221		0.9990
EUR-USD
BUY	1.3835	SELL	1.3790
BUY BREAK	1.3885	SELL BREAK	1.3720
TAKE PROFIT	0.0050	STOP LOSS	0.0030
RESISTANCE	PIVOT	SUPPORT
1.3855	1.3812	1.3762	Trend : Up
1.3905		1.3719
1.3948		1.3669
GBP-USD
BUY	1.6205	SELL	1.6160
BUY BREAK	1.6260	SELL BREAK	1.6005
TAKE PROFIT	0.0050	STOP LOSS	0.0030
RESISTANCE	PIVOT	SUPPORT
1.6236	1.6182	1.6135	Trend : Up
1.6283		1.6081
1.6337		1.6034
USD-CHF
BUY	0.9415	SELL	0.9370
BUY BREAK	0.9485	SELL BREAK	0.9310
TAKE PROFIT	0.0050	STOP LOSS	0.0030
RESISTANCE	PIVOT	SUPPORT
0.9455	0.9392	0.9345	Trend :Down
0.9502		0.9282
0.9565		0.9235

LLG
BUY	1337.10	SELL	1333.05
BUY BREAK	1351.50	SELL BREAK	1323.50
TAKE PROFIT	5	STOP LOSS	3
RESISTANCE	PIVOT	SUPPORT
1343.62	1335.08	1326.41	Trend :Down
1351.89		1318.47
1360.43		1310.00