• Dari kawasan Amerika: berupa rilis data retail sales dan TIC Long-Term Purchases yang merupakan kepemilikan surat berharga AS oleh pihak asing pada Selasa malam; lalu data perumahan yaitu Building Permits pada Rabu malam; data inflasi Core CPI, data industry Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, serta data tenaga kerja Unemployment Claims mingguan yang biasa menjadi perhatian pasar – semuanya pada Kamis malam.
o Dari kawasan Inggris dan Eropa: berupa data German ZEW Economic Sentiment pada Selasa sore; data inflasi Inggris dalam BOE Inflation Report pada Kamis petang dilanjutkan dengan Retail Sales pada hari Jumat sore.
o Dari Jepang dan China: berupa pengumuman Overnight Call Rate dari Bank of Japan serta inflasi CPI China pada Selasa siang.
Minggu lalu di pasar forex, nilai tukar mata uang dollar beranjak menguat terhadap kelompok major currencies lainnya sebagai mata uang pilihan di tengah gejolak di Mesir dan krisis hutang Eropa, dengan index dollar AS berakhir di level 78.420. Pekan yang lalu euro cenderung melemah walau agak sideways apalagi setelah rating hutang Irlandia kembali terpangkas, berakhir di level 1.3550. Untuk minggu berjalan ini market range akan berada antara level resistance pada 1.3744 dan berikutnya di 1.3858, sedangkan level support di 1.3393 dan kemudian pada 1.3240.
Poundsterling minggu lalu umumnya melemah vs dollar ke level 1. 6003, sejalan dengan menguatnya USD secara gloal. Untuk minggu ini, level resistance terdekat masih pada 1.6300 dan kemudian 1.6460, sedang support berada pada 1.5745 dan kemudian 1.5340. Untuk USDJPY minggu lalu cenderung menguat, dengan kenaikan USD secara cross the border. Pasar di minggu ini berada di antara resistance pada 84.50 dan 86.00, serta support level pada 80.90 dan 80.22. Sementara itu, Aussie dollar terpantau seminggu lewat terkoreksi oleh kemungkinan bertahannya suku bunga RBA; ditutup pada level 1.0021. Range minggu ini tetap antara resistance 1.0230 dan 1.03 sementara support level di 0.9794.
Untuk pasar di stock index futures, pada minggu lalu indeks Nikkei cukup volatile dan secara mingguan menguat tipis, berakhir di 10685. Minggu nanti Nikkei berjangka akan dalam rentangan resistance terdekat pada 10930 dan level berikutnya di 11393. Adapun support pada level 10150 dan lalu 9906. Sementara itu, Indeks Hang Seng berjangka di Hong Kong minggu lalu sempat tergelincir sampai total 1600’an poin, akibat kenaikan suku bungan China 25bp, ditutup di level 22743. Minggu ini akan berada dalam range level resistance di 24007 dan berikutnya 24477, sementara support-nya di 21538 selanjutnya 20239.
Bursa saham Wall Street minggu lalu kembali menguat terus oleh data perekonomian AS yang membaik serta berita positif dari Timur Tengah dengan mundurnya Hosni Mubarak. Dow Jones Industrial minggu ini masih dalam bullish-trend menjelang level resistance berikutnya ke 12600, sementara support di level 11800 dan kemudian pada 11515. Index S&P 500 minggu lalu juga menguat; resistance sekarang di level 1400, sementara level support berada di 1294 dan 1252.
Untuk pasar emas, minggu lalu menguat sebagai pilihan safe haven di tengah memanasnya situasi kawasan Arab, walau agak tertahan oleh penguatan dollar. Emas di LLG minggu lalu berakhir pada level $1357.05 per troy ounce. Untuk sepekan ke depan emas kemungkinan lebih konsolidatif, berada antara level support di $1323 serta support berikut $1307 per troy ounce. Sementara itu, resistance terdekat pada $1393 lalu level $1432.
Situasi politik pada minggu ini kembali terbukti mempunyai dampak kepada pergerakan arah pasar investasi. Gejolak di Mesir sampai mundurnya Mubarak terlihat berdampak kepada bursa, baik bursa saham, komoditas, maupun forex. Kombinasi pengetahuan fundamental dengan ketrampilan teknikal akan memberikan akurasi analisis pasar yang menguntungkan. Anda, untuk itu, bisa mempelajarinya di vibiznews.com. Tetaplah yakin dan tetap bertahan pada sukses investasi Anda.
For the global economic indicators, this week will be filled a few important economic news releases, including announcement of interest rates in Britain are estimated to still remain at previous levels. China will still be a long Lunar New Year holidays until next Tuesday. In general, economic data releases that investors would need to be considered this week are:
• From the Americas: the form of retail sales data release and Long-Term TIC Purchases which is the ownership of U.S. securities by foreign parties on Tuesday night, and housing data that is Building Permits on Wednesday night; Core CPI inflation data, industry data Philly Fed Manufacturing Index , as well as employment data Unemployment Claims usual weekly market concerns - all on Thursday night.
o From the UK and European regions: a data Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment on Tuesday afternoon; UK inflation data in the BOE Inflation Report on Thursday evening followed by Retail Sales on Friday afternoon.
o From Japan and China: Overnight Call Rate in the form of an announcement from the Bank of Japan and China CPI inflation on Tuesday afternoon.
Last week in the forex market, currency exchange rate dollar strengthened against the group headed other major currencies as the currency of choice in the midst of turmoil in Egypt and Europe debt crisis, the U.S. dollar index ended at 78,420 level. Last week the euro tends to weaken somewhat sideways though especially after Ireland's debt rating cut back, ending at 1.3550 level. To run this week market will be range between resistance level at 1.3744 and the next at 1.3858, while the support level at 1.3393 and then at 1.3240.
Generally weaker pound sterling last week versus the dollar to as low as 1. 6003, in line with the stronger USD in gloal. For this week, the nearest resistance level is at 1.6300 and then 1.6460, while support is at 1.5745 and then 1.5340. For USDJPY last week tended to strengthen, with the increase of USD cross the border. Markets this week were among the resistance at 84.50 and 86.00, and the support level at 80.90 and 80.22. Meanwhile, the Aussie dollar a week via the corrected observed by the possibility of survival of RBA rate; closed at 1.0021. This week range between resistance remains 1.0230 and 1:03 while the support level at 0.9794.
For the market in stock index futures, at last week's Nikkei index quite volatile and on a weekly basis to strengthen thin, ending at 10,685. Sunday Nikkei futures will be in the range of the nearest resistance at 10,930 and the next level at 11,393. The support at 10,150 level and then 9906. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng index futures in Hong Kong last week had slipped up to a total 1600'an points, due to rising interest rates 25bp China, closed at 22,743 level. This week will be in the range of resistance level at 24,007 and 24,477 the next, while his support in the next 21 538 20 239.
Wall Street stock market last week continued to bounce back by an improved U.S. economic data and positive news from the Middle East with the resignation of Hosni Mubarak. Dow Jones Industrial this week-still in a bullish trend towards the next resistance level to 12,600, while the support at 11,800 level and then at 11,515. S & P 500 Index last week rose; resistance is now at the level of 1400, while the level of support was in 1294 and 1252.
For the gold market, rose last week as the choice of safe haven in the midst of a warming situation of the Arab region, though somewhat restrained by a strengthening dollar. Gold in LLG last week end at the level of $ 1,357.05 per troy ounce. For the next week more likely konsolidatif gold, located between the support level at $ 1,323 and below $ 1,307 support per troy ounce. Meanwhile, the nearest resistance level at $ 1,393 and $ 1,432.
The political situation in this week again proved to have an impact on the investment market direction. Unrest in Egypt until the resignation of Mubarak visible impact on the stock, both stock markets, commodities, and forex. The combination of fundamental knowledge with technical skills will provide a lucrative market analysis accuracy. You, therefore, can learn it in vibiznews.com. Stay confident and survive on your investment success.
TRADING PLAN FOREX | |||
USD-JPY | |||
BUY | 83.55 | SELL | 83.05 |
BUY BREAK | 83.80 | SELL BREAK | 82.78 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.50 | STOP LOSS | 0.30 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
83.48 | 83.29 | 83.09 | Trend :Down |
83.68 | 82.97 | ||
83.87 | 82.70 | ||
AUD-USD | |||
BUY | 1.0060 | SELL | 1.0013 |
BUY BREAK | 1.0110 | SELL BREAK | 0.9940 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.0067 | 1.0035 | 0.9996 | Trend : Down |
1.0106 | 0.9964 | ||
1.0138 | 0.9925 | ||
EUR-USD | |||
BUY | 1.3520 | SELL | 1.3473 |
BUY BREAK | 1.3595 | SELL BREAK | 1.3428 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.3562 | 1.3495 | 1.3433 | Trend :Down |
1.3624 | 1.3366 | ||
1.3691 | 1.3304 | ||
GBP-USD | |||
BUY | 1.6060 | SELL | 1.6013 |
BUY BREAK | 1.6145 | SELL BREAK | 1.5953 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
1.6089 | 1.6035 | 1.5994 | Trend : Down |
1.6130 | 1.5940 | ||
1.6184 | 1.5899 | ||
USD-CHF | |||
BUY | 0.9735 | SELL | 0.9688 |
BUY BREAK | 0.9780 | SELL BREAK | 0.9615 |
TAKE PROFIT | 0.0050 | STOP LOSS | 0.0030 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
0.9729 | 0.9710 | 0.9678 | Trend : Down |
0.9761 | 0.9659 | ||
0.9780 | 0.9627 |
EUR-JPY | |||
BUY | 113.35 | SELL | 112.85 |
BUY BREAK | 114.00 | SELL BREAK | 112.35 |
TAKE PROFIT | 000.50 | STOP LOSS | 000.30 |
RESISTANCE | PIVOT | SUPPORT | |
112.76 | 112.42 | 112.08 | Trend :Down |
113.10 | 111.74 | ||
113.44 | 111.40 |
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